**Forecast models from agencies including the UK Met Office and local New Zealand sources indicate a daytime maximum near 15°C in Wellington on August 23, 2026, aligning with the market’s leading 51.5% implied probability for that exact outcome.** Northerly to northwesterly winds are expected to moderate temperatures above the August climatological average of roughly 12–14°C, while partial cloud cover and only a low (around 20%) chance of trace precipitation limit further warming. Recent model runs show tight clustering between 14°C and 16°C, explaining the secondary probabilities (22.5% and 22.0%) and the sharp drop-off beyond those values. Seasonal outlooks from NIWA continue to favor near-average conditions for the Wellington region through late August, providing additional context for traders but not overriding the short-range guidance that pins the most likely high at 15°C. Minor forecast adjustments over the next 48 hours remain the primary variable that could shift the distribution among the top three outcomes.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Wellington on August 23?
Highest temperature in Wellington on August 23?
15°C 52%
14°C 23%
16°C 22%
13°C 4%
নতুন
নতুন
Aug 23, 2026
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
1%
13°C
4%
14°C
23%
15°C
52%
16°C
22%
17°C
3%
18°C
1%
19°C or higher
1%
15°C 52%
14°C 23%
16°C 22%
13°C 4%
নতুন
নতুন
Aug 23, 2026
9°C or below
$129 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$117 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$117 Vol.
1%
12°C
$117 Vol.
1%
13°C
$55 Vol.
4%
14°C
$123 Vol.
23%
15°C
$115 Vol.
52%
16°C
$164 Vol.
22%
17°C
$55 Vol.
3%
18°C
$15 Vol.
1%
19°C or higher
$142 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from agencies including the UK Met Office and local New Zealand sources indicate a daytime maximum near 15°C in Wellington on August 23, 2026, aligning with the market’s leading 51.5% implied probability for that exact outcome.** Northerly to northwesterly winds are expected to moderate temperatures above the August climatological average of roughly 12–14°C, while partial cloud cover and only a low (around 20%) chance of trace precipitation limit further warming.
Recent model runs show tight clustering between 14°C and 16°C, explaining the secondary probabilities (22.5% and 22.0%) and the sharp drop-off beyond those values. Seasonal outlooks from NIWA continue to favor near-average conditions for the Wellington region through late August, providing additional context for traders but not overriding the short-range guidance that pins the most likely high at 15°C. Minor forecast adjustments over the next 48 hours remain the primary variable that could shift the distribution among the top three outcomes.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ভলিউম
$1,149শেষ তারিখ
Aug 23, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from agencies including the UK Met Office and local New Zealand sources indicate a daytime maximum near 15°C in Wellington on August 23, 2026, aligning with the market’s leading 51.5% implied probability for that exact outcome.** Northerly to northwesterly winds are expected to moderate temperatures above the August climatological average of roughly 12–14°C, while partial cloud cover and only a low (around 20%) chance of trace precipitation limit further warming.
Recent model runs show tight clustering between 14°C and 16°C, explaining the secondary probabilities (22.5% and 22.0%) and the sharp drop-off beyond those values. Seasonal outlooks from NIWA continue to favor near-average conditions for the Wellington region through late August, providing additional context for traders but not overriding the short-range guidance that pins the most likely high at 15°C. Minor forecast adjustments over the next 48 hours remain the primary variable that could shift the distribution among the top three outcomes.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$1,149শেষ তারিখ
Aug 23, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from agencies including the UK Met Office and local New Zealand sources indicate a daytime maximum near 15°C in Wellington on August 23, 2026, aligning with the market’s leading 51.5% implied probability for that exact outcome.** Northerly to northwesterly winds are expected to moderate temperatures above the August climatological average of roughly 12–14°C, while partial cloud cover and only a low (around 20%) chance of trace precipitation limit further warming. Recent model runs show tight clustering between 14°C and 16°C, explaining the secondary probabilities (22.5% and 22.0%) and the sharp drop-off beyond those values. Seasonal outlooks from NIWA continue to favor near-average conditions for the Wellington region through late August, providing additional context for traders but not overriding the short-range guidance that pins the most likely high at 15°C. Minor forecast adjustments over the next 48 hours remain the primary variable that could shift the distribution among the top three outcomes.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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