**Current forecast guidance from MetService, NIWA, and international models points to a daytime maximum of 14–15 °C in Wellington on 22 August 2026, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward 15 °C (61.5 %) and 14 °C (29 %).** August climatology for the capital shows mean daily highs near 12–13 °C, so the projected values sit slightly above average but remain consistent with NIWA’s seasonal outlook favoring near-normal temperatures. Recent model runs indicate northwest flow or variable winds moderating a lingering cool maritime air mass, producing partly cloudy skies and a modest warming trend compared with the cooler 9–11 °C readings observed earlier in mid-August under southerly outbreaks. Model consensus remains tight within a 1–2 °C envelope, limiting the probability of 16 °C or higher (combined <10 %) or sub-13 °C outcomes. Fresh observational data and the next model cycle in the coming hours will be the key variables that could nudge the narrow spread between the two leading bins before resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Wellington on August 22?
15°C 62%
14°C 30%
16°C 9%
13°C 3%
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
3%
14°C
30%
15°C
62%
16°C
9%
17°C
2%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
15°C 62%
14°C 30%
16°C 9%
13°C 3%
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
3%
14°C
30%
15°C
62%
16°C
9%
17°C
2%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecast guidance from MetService, NIWA, and international models points to a daytime maximum of 14–15 °C in Wellington on 22 August 2026, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward 15 °C (61.5 %) and 14 °C (29 %).** August climatology for the capital shows mean daily highs near 12–13 °C, so the projected values sit slightly above average but remain consistent with NIWA’s seasonal outlook favoring near-normal temperatures. Recent model runs indicate northwest flow or variable winds moderating a lingering cool maritime air mass, producing partly cloudy skies and a modest warming trend compared with the cooler 9–11 °C readings observed earlier in mid-August under southerly outbreaks. Model consensus remains tight within a 1–2 °C envelope, limiting the probability of 16 °C or higher (combined <10 %) or sub-13 °C outcomes. Fresh observational data and the next model cycle in the coming hours will be the key variables that could nudge the narrow spread between the two leading bins before resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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