**Recent official forecasts position 10–12°C as the most probable range for Wellington’s overnight low on August 22.** MetService and Met Office guidance issued in the past 48 hours call for a daytime high near 14°C and an overnight minimum of 12°C under a strengthening northwesterly flow, while earlier NIWA seasonal outlooks noted near- or slightly below-average temperatures for the central North Island region. These model runs align with the market’s heaviest trading on 11°C (41.5 %), 10°C (30.0 %), and 12°C (29.0 %). **Key meteorological drivers include the current synoptic pattern and local effects.** A moist northwesterly airstream is expected to moderate radiational cooling, keeping minimum temperatures above the long-term August average low of ~9°C. Cloud cover and wind gusts to 45–75 km/h further limit overnight temperature drops. Recent polar-air outbreaks earlier in August lowered some South Island readings but have been replaced by milder conditions that models project will persist through the 22nd. **Traders are weighting these consensus forecasts against resolution criteria—the official lowest temperature recorded at Wellington’s primary observing site.** With the event only hours away, any late-model shift in the overnight minimum (e.g., clearer skies allowing greater cooling toward 8–9°C) could quickly move the 7–9°C or 13°C+ options, but current guidance keeps the bulk of implied probability tightly clustered around 10–12°C.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Wellington on August 22?
Lowest temperature in Wellington on August 22?
11°C 65%
10°C 31%
12°C 29%
8°C 27%
নতুন
নতুন
Aug 22, 2026
7°C or below
21%
8°C
27%
9°C
27%
10°C
31%
11°C
45%
12°C
29%
13°C
27%
14°C
2%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
<1%
11°C 65%
10°C 31%
12°C 29%
8°C 27%
নতুন
নতুন
Aug 22, 2026
7°C or below
$68 Vol.
21%
8°C
$0 Vol.
27%
9°C
$0 Vol.
27%
10°C
$1 Vol.
31%
11°C
$46 Vol.
45%
12°C
$0 Vol.
29%
13°C
$0 Vol.
27%
14°C
$199 Vol.
2%
15°C
$71 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$20 Vol.
<1%
17°C or higher
$73 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent official forecasts position 10–12°C as the most probable range for Wellington’s overnight low on August 22.** MetService and Met Office guidance issued in the past 48 hours call for a daytime high near 14°C and an overnight minimum of 12°C under a strengthening northwesterly flow, while earlier NIWA seasonal outlooks noted near- or slightly below-average temperatures for the central North Island region. These model runs align with the market’s heaviest trading on 11°C (41.5 %), 10°C (30.0 %), and 12°C (29.0 %).
**Key meteorological drivers include the current synoptic pattern and local effects.** A moist northwesterly airstream is expected to moderate radiational cooling, keeping minimum temperatures above the long-term August average low of ~9°C. Cloud cover and wind gusts to 45–75 km/h further limit overnight temperature drops. Recent polar-air outbreaks earlier in August lowered some South Island readings but have been replaced by milder conditions that models project will persist through the 22nd.
**Traders are weighting these consensus forecasts against resolution criteria—the official lowest temperature recorded at Wellington’s primary observing site.** With the event only hours away, any late-model shift in the overnight minimum (e.g., clearer skies allowing greater cooling toward 8–9°C) could quickly move the 7–9°C or 13°C+ options, but current guidance keeps the bulk of implied probability tightly clustered around 10–12°C.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 20, 2026, 1:31 PM ET
ভলিউম
$477শেষ তারিখ
Aug 22, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 20, 2026, 1:31 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent official forecasts position 10–12°C as the most probable range for Wellington’s overnight low on August 22.** MetService and Met Office guidance issued in the past 48 hours call for a daytime high near 14°C and an overnight minimum of 12°C under a strengthening northwesterly flow, while earlier NIWA seasonal outlooks noted near- or slightly below-average temperatures for the central North Island region. These model runs align with the market’s heaviest trading on 11°C (41.5 %), 10°C (30.0 %), and 12°C (29.0 %).
**Key meteorological drivers include the current synoptic pattern and local effects.** A moist northwesterly airstream is expected to moderate radiational cooling, keeping minimum temperatures above the long-term August average low of ~9°C. Cloud cover and wind gusts to 45–75 km/h further limit overnight temperature drops. Recent polar-air outbreaks earlier in August lowered some South Island readings but have been replaced by milder conditions that models project will persist through the 22nd.
**Traders are weighting these consensus forecasts against resolution criteria—the official lowest temperature recorded at Wellington’s primary observing site.** With the event only hours away, any late-model shift in the overnight minimum (e.g., clearer skies allowing greater cooling toward 8–9°C) could quickly move the 7–9°C or 13°C+ options, but current guidance keeps the bulk of implied probability tightly clustered around 10–12°C.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$477শেষ তারিখ
Aug 22, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 20, 2026, 1:31 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent official forecasts position 10–12°C as the most probable range for Wellington’s overnight low on August 22.** MetService and Met Office guidance issued in the past 48 hours call for a daytime high near 14°C and an overnight minimum of 12°C under a strengthening northwesterly flow, while earlier NIWA seasonal outlooks noted near- or slightly below-average temperatures for the central North Island region. These model runs align with the market’s heaviest trading on 11°C (41.5 %), 10°C (30.0 %), and 12°C (29.0 %). **Key meteorological drivers include the current synoptic pattern and local effects.** A moist northwesterly airstream is expected to moderate radiational cooling, keeping minimum temperatures above the long-term August average low of ~9°C. Cloud cover and wind gusts to 45–75 km/h further limit overnight temperature drops. Recent polar-air outbreaks earlier in August lowered some South Island readings but have been replaced by milder conditions that models project will persist through the 22nd. **Traders are weighting these consensus forecasts against resolution criteria—the official lowest temperature recorded at Wellington’s primary observing site.** With the event only hours away, any late-model shift in the overnight minimum (e.g., clearer skies allowing greater cooling toward 8–9°C) could quickly move the 7–9°C or 13°C+ options, but current guidance keeps the bulk of implied probability tightly clustered around 10–12°C.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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