Recent MetService and NIWA forecasts position an overnight low of 7–10°C as the most likely outcome for Wellington on August 21, driven by near-average winter conditions with light northerly winds transitioning to cooler southerlies and minimal cloud cover overnight. Model consensus shows no strong polar air intrusion or clear-sky radiative cooling event that would push minima to 6°C or below, consistent with August climatology where typical lows sit near 7–9°C. Trader-implied probabilities favoring 7–8°C reflect these stable atmospheric patterns and limited forecast spread, though final resolution hinges on official observations once the 24-hour period closes. Updated model runs this morning confirm the outlook with little revision expected before evening.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Wellington on August 21?
Lowest temperature in Wellington on August 21?
5°C 57%
4°C 54%
2°C or below <1%
3°C <1%
নতুন
নতুন
Aug 21, 2026
2°C or below
<1%
3°C
<1%
4°C
54%
5°C
57%
6°C
30%
7°C
38%
8°C
61%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C or higher
<1%
5°C 57%
4°C 54%
2°C or below <1%
3°C <1%
নতুন
নতুন
Aug 21, 2026
2°C or below
$139 Vol.
<1%
3°C
$182 Vol.
<1%
4°C
$144 Vol.
54%
5°C
$144 Vol.
57%
6°C
$19 Vol.
30%
7°C
$30 Vol.
38%
8°C
$69 Vol.
61%
9°C
$241 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$15 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$80 Vol.
<1%
12°C or higher
$95 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent MetService and NIWA forecasts position an overnight low of 7–10°C as the most likely outcome for Wellington on August 21, driven by near-average winter conditions with light northerly winds transitioning to cooler southerlies and minimal cloud cover overnight. Model consensus shows no strong polar air intrusion or clear-sky radiative cooling event that would push minima to 6°C or below, consistent with August climatology where typical lows sit near 7–9°C. Trader-implied probabilities favoring 7–8°C reflect these stable atmospheric patterns and limited forecast spread, though final resolution hinges on official observations once the 24-hour period closes. Updated model runs this morning confirm the outlook with little revision expected before evening.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 20, 2026, 1:28 PM ET
ভলিউম
$1,158শেষ তারিখ
Aug 21, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 20, 2026, 1:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent MetService and NIWA forecasts position an overnight low of 7–10°C as the most likely outcome for Wellington on August 21, driven by near-average winter conditions with light northerly winds transitioning to cooler southerlies and minimal cloud cover overnight. Model consensus shows no strong polar air intrusion or clear-sky radiative cooling event that would push minima to 6°C or below, consistent with August climatology where typical lows sit near 7–9°C. Trader-implied probabilities favoring 7–8°C reflect these stable atmospheric patterns and limited forecast spread, though final resolution hinges on official observations once the 24-hour period closes. Updated model runs this morning confirm the outlook with little revision expected before evening.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$1,158শেষ তারিখ
Aug 21, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 20, 2026, 1:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent MetService and NIWA forecasts position an overnight low of 7–10°C as the most likely outcome for Wellington on August 21, driven by near-average winter conditions with light northerly winds transitioning to cooler southerlies and minimal cloud cover overnight. Model consensus shows no strong polar air intrusion or clear-sky radiative cooling event that would push minima to 6°C or below, consistent with August climatology where typical lows sit near 7–9°C. Trader-implied probabilities favoring 7–8°C reflect these stable atmospheric patterns and limited forecast spread, though final resolution hinges on official observations once the 24-hour period closes. Updated model runs this morning confirm the outlook with little revision expected before evening.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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