Forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and international models indicate mostly cloudy skies with light easterly winds and minimal precipitation for Shanghai on August 26, allowing strong daytime solar heating under the influence of the westward-extending subtropical high. Official guidance consistently projects daytime maxima of 32–33°C, aligning with late-summer climatology where Shanghai highs average near 31°C but can exceed this with clear or partly cloudy conditions and dew points around 25°C that limit nocturnal cooling. The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 32°C reflects consensus across recent model runs showing little variability in steering patterns or cloud cover, though any unexpected increase in convective activity could cap temperatures near 31°C while clearer breaks would favor the 33°C outcome. Updated numerical guidance and local observations on the morning of the 26th will provide the final inputs for resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Shanghai on August 26?
32°C 57%
31°C 21%
33°C 17%
30°C 5%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
5%
31°C
21%
32°C
57%
33°C
17%
34°C
3%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
32°C 57%
31°C 21%
33°C 17%
30°C 5%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
5%
31°C
21%
32°C
57%
33°C
17%
34°C
3%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and international models indicate mostly cloudy skies with light easterly winds and minimal precipitation for Shanghai on August 26, allowing strong daytime solar heating under the influence of the westward-extending subtropical high. Official guidance consistently projects daytime maxima of 32–33°C, aligning with late-summer climatology where Shanghai highs average near 31°C but can exceed this with clear or partly cloudy conditions and dew points around 25°C that limit nocturnal cooling. The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 32°C reflects consensus across recent model runs showing little variability in steering patterns or cloud cover, though any unexpected increase in convective activity could cap temperatures near 31°C while clearer breaks would favor the 33°C outcome. Updated numerical guidance and local observations on the morning of the 26th will provide the final inputs for resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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