Persistent Southwest Monsoon (Habagat) activity, reinforced by a nearby low-pressure area east of northern Luzon, is driving widespread cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and frequent rainfall across Metro Manila on August 30. These conditions suppress daytime heating, keeping official model guidance for the daily maximum clustered around 28–30 °C according to PAGASA, Met Office, and global ensembles. Historical August averages near 31 °C provide context, but the enhanced monsoon flow favors values slightly below that baseline. Trader positioning, with 30 °C at 35 % and 31 °C at 22 % implied probability, aligns with this consensus while assigning low odds to 32 °C or higher given the limited insolation and high precipitation chances. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will refine the exact peak before market resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Manila on August 30?
30°C 34%
31°C 22%
29°C 17%
28°C 7%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
4%
28°C
7%
29°C
17%
30°C
34%
31°C
22%
32°C
5%
33°C
2%
34°C or higher
1%
30°C 34%
31°C 22%
29°C 17%
28°C 7%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
4%
28°C
7%
29°C
17%
30°C
34%
31°C
22%
32°C
5%
33°C
2%
34°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Persistent Southwest Monsoon (Habagat) activity, reinforced by a nearby low-pressure area east of northern Luzon, is driving widespread cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and frequent rainfall across Metro Manila on August 30. These conditions suppress daytime heating, keeping official model guidance for the daily maximum clustered around 28–30 °C according to PAGASA, Met Office, and global ensembles. Historical August averages near 31 °C provide context, but the enhanced monsoon flow favors values slightly below that baseline. Trader positioning, with 30 °C at 35 % and 31 °C at 22 % implied probability, aligns with this consensus while assigning low odds to 32 °C or higher given the limited insolation and high precipitation chances. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will refine the exact peak before market resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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