**Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including the China Meteorological Administration and international models, consistently project a daily maximum temperature of 32–33°C in Shanghai on August 29, 2026.** Light rain or partly cloudy conditions with southeast winds under 3 levels are expected following the recent passage of Typhoon Shadir (No. 18), which brought stronger northeasterly winds, scattered showers, and slightly cooler air on the 27th–28th. This post-typhoon environment, combined with typical late-August humidity levels near 70–90% and moderate subsidence, supports highs centered around 32°C rather than extreme peaks above 34°C. Model consensus across sources shows limited day-to-day variability in this short-range window, with historical August averages near 31°C providing context for the narrow distribution. Traders have assigned the highest implied probability (56.5%) to exactly 32°C, reflecting alignment with the latest official guidance and the low likelihood of significant forecast shifts before resolution. Updates from the Shanghai Meteorological Observatory or refined model runs could still adjust edge probabilities if unexpected clearing or additional moisture arrives.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Shanghai on August 29?
32°C 57%
33°C 21%
31°C 20%
34°C 4%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
3%
31°C
20%
32°C
57%
33°C
21%
34°C
4%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
32°C 57%
33°C 21%
31°C 20%
34°C 4%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
3%
31°C
20%
32°C
57%
33°C
21%
34°C
4%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including the China Meteorological Administration and international models, consistently project a daily maximum temperature of 32–33°C in Shanghai on August 29, 2026.** Light rain or partly cloudy conditions with southeast winds under 3 levels are expected following the recent passage of Typhoon Shadir (No. 18), which brought stronger northeasterly winds, scattered showers, and slightly cooler air on the 27th–28th. This post-typhoon environment, combined with typical late-August humidity levels near 70–90% and moderate subsidence, supports highs centered around 32°C rather than extreme peaks above 34°C. Model consensus across sources shows limited day-to-day variability in this short-range window, with historical August averages near 31°C providing context for the narrow distribution. Traders have assigned the highest implied probability (56.5%) to exactly 32°C, reflecting alignment with the latest official guidance and the low likelihood of significant forecast shifts before resolution. Updates from the Shanghai Meteorological Observatory or refined model runs could still adjust edge probabilities if unexpected clearing or additional moisture arrives.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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