Recent model consensus from sources including ECMWF and GFS indicates a moderating influence from persistent northeasterly winds and partial cloud cover over Istanbul on August 29, limiting daytime heating and favoring a daily maximum near 24–25 °C rather than seasonal late-August norms of 27–28 °C. Light precipitation chances in several runs further suppress peak values by enhancing evaporative cooling and reducing solar insolation. This scientific setup explains the closely matched market-implied odds between 24 °C (43.5 %) and 25 °C (39.5 %), with lower probabilities for 26 °C or above reflecting model agreement on cooler-than-average conditions and uncertainty in exact boundary-layer mixing. Updated forecast runs expected in the next 24 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Istanbul on August 29?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on August 29?
24°C 44%
25°C 40%
23°C 13%
26°C 7%
নতুন
নতুন
Aug 29, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
2%
22°C
2%
23°C
13%
24°C
44%
25°C
40%
26°C
7%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
<1%
24°C 44%
25°C 40%
23°C 13%
26°C 7%
নতুন
নতুন
Aug 29, 2026
19°C or below
$18 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$21 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$119 Vol.
2%
22°C
$7 Vol.
2%
23°C
$349 Vol.
13%
24°C
$426 Vol.
44%
25°C
$588 Vol.
40%
26°C
$491 Vol.
7%
27°C
$144 Vol.
2%
28°C
$108 Vol.
1%
29°C or higher
$70 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including ECMWF and GFS indicates a moderating influence from persistent northeasterly winds and partial cloud cover over Istanbul on August 29, limiting daytime heating and favoring a daily maximum near 24–25 °C rather than seasonal late-August norms of 27–28 °C. Light precipitation chances in several runs further suppress peak values by enhancing evaporative cooling and reducing solar insolation. This scientific setup explains the closely matched market-implied odds between 24 °C (43.5 %) and 25 °C (39.5 %), with lower probabilities for 26 °C or above reflecting model agreement on cooler-than-average conditions and uncertainty in exact boundary-layer mixing. Updated forecast runs expected in the next 24 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 27, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
ভলিউম
$2,339শেষ তারিখ
Aug 29, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 27, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including ECMWF and GFS indicates a moderating influence from persistent northeasterly winds and partial cloud cover over Istanbul on August 29, limiting daytime heating and favoring a daily maximum near 24–25 °C rather than seasonal late-August norms of 27–28 °C. Light precipitation chances in several runs further suppress peak values by enhancing evaporative cooling and reducing solar insolation. This scientific setup explains the closely matched market-implied odds between 24 °C (43.5 %) and 25 °C (39.5 %), with lower probabilities for 26 °C or above reflecting model agreement on cooler-than-average conditions and uncertainty in exact boundary-layer mixing. Updated forecast runs expected in the next 24 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$2,339শেষ তারিখ
Aug 29, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 27, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from sources including ECMWF and GFS indicates a moderating influence from persistent northeasterly winds and partial cloud cover over Istanbul on August 29, limiting daytime heating and favoring a daily maximum near 24–25 °C rather than seasonal late-August norms of 27–28 °C. Light precipitation chances in several runs further suppress peak values by enhancing evaporative cooling and reducing solar insolation. This scientific setup explains the closely matched market-implied odds between 24 °C (43.5 %) and 25 °C (39.5 %), with lower probabilities for 26 °C or above reflecting model agreement on cooler-than-average conditions and uncertainty in exact boundary-layer mixing. Updated forecast runs expected in the next 24 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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