Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for New York City on August 29, 2026, point to mostly clear skies overnight following a frontal passage, with light southwest winds and dew points in the mid-50s supporting a minimum near the seasonal average of 66°F. This alignment of forecast consensus drives the 48% market-implied probability on 66-67°F, while adjacent bins at 64-65°F and 68-69°F capture remaining model spread and minor urban heat-island variability. Historical records show lows below 60°F are rare this late in summer, keeping tail outcomes below 1% each. Updated guidance ahead of the overnight period will determine whether probabilities shift within the narrow 64-69°F range.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in NYC on August 29?
Lowest temperature in NYC on August 29?
66-67°F 48%
68-69°F 22%
64-65°F 21%
62-63°F 6%
নতুন
নতুন
Aug 29, 2026
55°F or below
1%
56-57°F
1%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
3%
62-63°F
6%
64-65°F
21%
66-67°F
48%
68-69°F
22%
70-71°F
4%
72-73°F
1%
74°F or higher
1%
66-67°F 48%
68-69°F 22%
64-65°F 21%
62-63°F 6%
নতুন
নতুন
Aug 29, 2026
55°F or below
$17 Vol.
1%
56-57°F
$5 Vol.
1%
58-59°F
$5 Vol.
1%
60-61°F
$50 Vol.
3%
62-63°F
$61 Vol.
6%
64-65°F
$86 Vol.
21%
66-67°F
$32 Vol.
48%
68-69°F
$75 Vol.
22%
70-71°F
$626 Vol.
4%
72-73°F
$270 Vol.
1%
74°F or higher
$5 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for New York City on August 29, 2026, point to mostly clear skies overnight following a frontal passage, with light southwest winds and dew points in the mid-50s supporting a minimum near the seasonal average of 66°F. This alignment of forecast consensus drives the 48% market-implied probability on 66-67°F, while adjacent bins at 64-65°F and 68-69°F capture remaining model spread and minor urban heat-island variability. Historical records show lows below 60°F are rare this late in summer, keeping tail outcomes below 1% each. Updated guidance ahead of the overnight period will determine whether probabilities shift within the narrow 64-69°F range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 27, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
ভলিউম
$1,231শেষ তারিখ
Aug 29, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 27, 2026, 9:29 PM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for New York City on August 29, 2026, point to mostly clear skies overnight following a frontal passage, with light southwest winds and dew points in the mid-50s supporting a minimum near the seasonal average of 66°F. This alignment of forecast consensus drives the 48% market-implied probability on 66-67°F, while adjacent bins at 64-65°F and 68-69°F capture remaining model spread and minor urban heat-island variability. Historical records show lows below 60°F are rare this late in summer, keeping tail outcomes below 1% each. Updated guidance ahead of the overnight period will determine whether probabilities shift within the narrow 64-69°F range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$1,231শেষ তারিখ
Aug 29, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 27, 2026, 9:29 PM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for New York City on August 29, 2026, point to mostly clear skies overnight following a frontal passage, with light southwest winds and dew points in the mid-50s supporting a minimum near the seasonal average of 66°F. This alignment of forecast consensus drives the 48% market-implied probability on 66-67°F, while adjacent bins at 64-65°F and 68-69°F capture remaining model spread and minor urban heat-island variability. Historical records show lows below 60°F are rare this late in summer, keeping tail outcomes below 1% each. Updated guidance ahead of the overnight period will determine whether probabilities shift within the narrow 64-69°F range.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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