**Forecast consensus from official meteorological sources positions Moscow's maximum temperature on August 30, 2026, in the narrow 20–22°C range, directly explaining the market's concentration of implied probability (over 88% combined) on those three outcomes.** Multiple Russian forecasting agencies and international models, including those referenced by Yandex Weather, the Hydrometeorological Center of Russia, and cross-checked global runs, consistently project daytime highs of 20–22°C under variable cloud cover with periods of light rain or showers. This reflects typical late-August climatology for Moscow, where the long-term average high is 20°C and cooler northerly or easterly flows begin to dominate as summer transitions. Recent days have shown similar mild conditions (highs near 19–22°C), with no anomalous warm advection or clear-sky heating to push temperatures higher. Light southerly winds in some guidance provide minor moderation but are offset by increased cloudiness and precipitation, which suppress peak readings. Model agreement remains strong within this band, with only modest spread from minor differences in timing of showers; any deviation would require an unexpected clearing trend or stronger southerly flow not currently indicated. Resolution will hinge on the final observed maximum from official stations, aligning trader sentiment tightly with the latest ensemble guidance.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Moscow on August 30?
21°C 45%
22°C 27%
20°C 18%
23°C 6%
16°C or below
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
2%
19°C
4%
20°C
18%
21°C
45%
22°C
27%
23°C
6%
24°C
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
21°C 45%
22°C 27%
20°C 18%
23°C 6%
16°C or below
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
2%
19°C
4%
20°C
18%
21°C
45%
22°C
27%
23°C
6%
24°C
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
রেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus from official meteorological sources positions Moscow's maximum temperature on August 30, 2026, in the narrow 20–22°C range, directly explaining the market's concentration of implied probability (over 88% combined) on those three outcomes.** Multiple Russian forecasting agencies and international models, including those referenced by Yandex Weather, the Hydrometeorological Center of Russia, and cross-checked global runs, consistently project daytime highs of 20–22°C under variable cloud cover with periods of light rain or showers. This reflects typical late-August climatology for Moscow, where the long-term average high is 20°C and cooler northerly or easterly flows begin to dominate as summer transitions. Recent days have shown similar mild conditions (highs near 19–22°C), with no anomalous warm advection or clear-sky heating to push temperatures higher. Light southerly winds in some guidance provide minor moderation but are offset by increased cloudiness and precipitation, which suppress peak readings. Model agreement remains strong within this band, with only modest spread from minor differences in timing of showers; any deviation would require an unexpected clearing trend or stronger southerly flow not currently indicated. Resolution will hinge on the final observed maximum from official stations, aligning trader sentiment tightly with the latest ensemble guidance.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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