Recent forecasts from sources aligned with China Meteorological Administration guidance indicate persistent cloud cover, moderate to heavy rain, and thunderstorms over Shenzhen on August 31, 2026, driven by regional convective activity in the humid subtropical climate. These conditions favor overnight lows near 25–26°C by limiting radiative cooling while suppressing daytime peaks around 29–30°C, consistent with August climatology where minimums average 25°C. Model consensus shows limited spread in boundary-layer moisture and steering winds, though small shifts in precipitation timing or intensity could alter the exact minimum by 1–2°C. With market-implied odds tightly clustered between 23°C and 27°C, traders appear to weigh the stabilizing effect of widespread rain against potential clearer intervals that might allow slightly lower readings. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria based on verified station observations.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Shenzhen on August 31?
23°C 86%
24°C 85%
25°C 80%
29°C 49%
22°C or below
13%
23°C
86%
24°C
85%
25°C
80%
26°C
46%
27°C
45%
28°C
47%
29°C
49%
30°C
2%
31°C
19%
32°C or higher
49%
23°C 86%
24°C 85%
25°C 80%
29°C 49%
22°C or below
13%
23°C
86%
24°C
85%
25°C
80%
26°C
46%
27°C
45%
28°C
47%
29°C
49%
30°C
2%
31°C
19%
32°C or higher
49%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources aligned with China Meteorological Administration guidance indicate persistent cloud cover, moderate to heavy rain, and thunderstorms over Shenzhen on August 31, 2026, driven by regional convective activity in the humid subtropical climate. These conditions favor overnight lows near 25–26°C by limiting radiative cooling while suppressing daytime peaks around 29–30°C, consistent with August climatology where minimums average 25°C. Model consensus shows limited spread in boundary-layer moisture and steering winds, though small shifts in precipitation timing or intensity could alter the exact minimum by 1–2°C. With market-implied odds tightly clustered between 23°C and 27°C, traders appear to weigh the stabilizing effect of widespread rain against potential clearer intervals that might allow slightly lower readings. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria based on verified station observations.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা