Forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration currently point to a daytime maximum in Guangzhou near 36°C on August 29, driving the highest market-implied odds at that level. Late-August subtropical conditions, including a strong high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies and intense solar heating, combined with urban heat-island effects in the Pearl River Delta, support peaks in the mid-30s. Recent model runs show limited day-to-day variability, though steering flows or increased humidity could trim the high by 1–2°C or allow brief spikes if afternoon mixing strengthens. Historical August maxima average 33–35°C, with 36–37°C occurring in roughly one-third of years; traders appear to weight ensemble guidance showing those thresholds as most probable while discounting extremes outside the 34–38°C range given stable synoptic patterns.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Guangzhou on August 29?
36°C 39%
37°C 27%
35°C 18%
38°C 12%
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
1%
34°C
8%
35°C
18%
36°C
39%
37°C
27%
38°C
12%
39°C
2%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
36°C 39%
37°C 27%
35°C 18%
38°C 12%
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
1%
34°C
8%
35°C
18%
36°C
39%
37°C
27%
38°C
12%
39°C
2%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 27, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration currently point to a daytime maximum in Guangzhou near 36°C on August 29, driving the highest market-implied odds at that level. Late-August subtropical conditions, including a strong high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies and intense solar heating, combined with urban heat-island effects in the Pearl River Delta, support peaks in the mid-30s. Recent model runs show limited day-to-day variability, though steering flows or increased humidity could trim the high by 1–2°C or allow brief spikes if afternoon mixing strengthens. Historical August maxima average 33–35°C, with 36–37°C occurring in roughly one-third of years; traders appear to weight ensemble guidance showing those thresholds as most probable while discounting extremes outside the 34–38°C range given stable synoptic patterns.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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