Persistent southwest monsoon activity and widespread cloud cover over Luzon are the main drivers behind current market-implied odds, which place the strongest weight on a daily minimum of 21°C or below. These conditions suppress radiative cooling at night while limiting daytime heating, though official PAGASA guidance and ensemble forecasts still cluster most likely lows near 26°C amid moderate-to-strong southwesterly flow. Recent 24–48 hour observations show overnight readings holding at 24–26°C under heavy rainfall, consistent with historical August baselines for Metro Manila yet leaving room for model spread on exact minimum timing. Upcoming PAGASA updates and refined regional model runs through August 30 will likely refine trader positioning ahead of resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Manila on August 31?
Lowest temperature in Manila on August 31?
21°C or below 82%
25°C 49%
30°C 48%
24°C 47%
নতুন
নতুন
Aug 31, 2026
21°C or below
82%
22°C
8%
23°C
22%
24°C
47%
25°C
49%
26°C
29%
27°C
29%
28°C
47%
29°C
47%
30°C
48%
31°C or higher
2%
21°C or below 82%
25°C 49%
30°C 48%
24°C 47%
নতুন
নতুন
Aug 31, 2026
21°C or below
$0 Vol.
82%
22°C
$0 Vol.
8%
23°C
$0 Vol.
22%
24°C
$0 Vol.
47%
25°C
$0 Vol.
49%
26°C
$0 Vol.
29%
27°C
$0 Vol.
29%
28°C
$0 Vol.
47%
29°C
$0 Vol.
47%
30°C
$0 Vol.
48%
31°C or higher
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon activity and widespread cloud cover over Luzon are the main drivers behind current market-implied odds, which place the strongest weight on a daily minimum of 21°C or below. These conditions suppress radiative cooling at night while limiting daytime heating, though official PAGASA guidance and ensemble forecasts still cluster most likely lows near 26°C amid moderate-to-strong southwesterly flow. Recent 24–48 hour observations show overnight readings holding at 24–26°C under heavy rainfall, consistent with historical August baselines for Metro Manila yet leaving room for model spread on exact minimum timing. Upcoming PAGASA updates and refined regional model runs through August 30 will likely refine trader positioning ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 29, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
ভলিউম
$0শেষ তারিখ
Aug 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 29, 2026, 12:31 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon activity and widespread cloud cover over Luzon are the main drivers behind current market-implied odds, which place the strongest weight on a daily minimum of 21°C or below. These conditions suppress radiative cooling at night while limiting daytime heating, though official PAGASA guidance and ensemble forecasts still cluster most likely lows near 26°C amid moderate-to-strong southwesterly flow. Recent 24–48 hour observations show overnight readings holding at 24–26°C under heavy rainfall, consistent with historical August baselines for Metro Manila yet leaving room for model spread on exact minimum timing. Upcoming PAGASA updates and refined regional model runs through August 30 will likely refine trader positioning ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$0শেষ তারিখ
Aug 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 29, 2026, 12:31 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Persistent southwest monsoon activity and widespread cloud cover over Luzon are the main drivers behind current market-implied odds, which place the strongest weight on a daily minimum of 21°C or below. These conditions suppress radiative cooling at night while limiting daytime heating, though official PAGASA guidance and ensemble forecasts still cluster most likely lows near 26°C amid moderate-to-strong southwesterly flow. Recent 24–48 hour observations show overnight readings holding at 24–26°C under heavy rainfall, consistent with historical August baselines for Metro Manila yet leaving room for model spread on exact minimum timing. Upcoming PAGASA updates and refined regional model runs through August 30 will likely refine trader positioning ahead of resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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