Recent ensemble model runs for Buenos Aires show notable spread in overnight minimums on August 31, with some solutions favoring clearer skies and lighter easterly winds that could allow radiational cooling to push lows toward 9–10°C, while others indicate persistent cloud cover or slightly stronger flow limiting drops to 12–13°C. This divergence, typical 48 hours out in late winter, underpins the near-even market-implied odds between sub-8°C and 17°C-plus outcomes alongside clustered probabilities around 10–11°C. Historical climatology places the date’s average low near 11°C, so current conditions align with typical variability rather than extremes, and traders will watch updated Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance and high-resolution model releases through the weekend for clearer signals ahead of the midnight-to-midnight observation window.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 31?
7°C or below 90%
17°C or higher 88%
8°C 49%
14°C 49%
7°C or below
90%
8°C
49%
9°C
26%
10°C
26%
11°C
27%
12°C
22%
13°C
25%
14°C
49%
15°C
47%
16°C
46%
17°C or higher
88%
7°C or below 90%
17°C or higher 88%
8°C 49%
14°C 49%
7°C or below
90%
8°C
49%
9°C
26%
10°C
26%
11°C
27%
12°C
22%
13°C
25%
14°C
49%
15°C
47%
16°C
46%
17°C or higher
88%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 29, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble model runs for Buenos Aires show notable spread in overnight minimums on August 31, with some solutions favoring clearer skies and lighter easterly winds that could allow radiational cooling to push lows toward 9–10°C, while others indicate persistent cloud cover or slightly stronger flow limiting drops to 12–13°C. This divergence, typical 48 hours out in late winter, underpins the near-even market-implied odds between sub-8°C and 17°C-plus outcomes alongside clustered probabilities around 10–11°C. Historical climatology places the date’s average low near 11°C, so current conditions align with typical variability rather than extremes, and traders will watch updated Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance and high-resolution model releases through the weekend for clearer signals ahead of the midnight-to-midnight observation window.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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