Persistent monsoon activity across Uttar Pradesh, with IMD forecasts indicating generally cloudy to overcast skies, scattered rain or thundershowers, and high humidity on August 22, drives the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 26–27°C minimums. Cloud cover and precipitation limit radiative cooling overnight, sustaining elevated minimum temperatures typical of the season rather than allowing sharper drops seen in drier conditions. Official guidance lists a 26°C low alongside a 31°C high, aligning with multiple numerical models showing similar ranges amid 70–90% rain probabilities. Recent heavy rainfall episodes and an active low-pressure influence have reinforced this pattern, keeping trader sentiment balanced across the 25–28°C band while assigning low probability to extremes below 24°C or above 29°C. Updated IMD briefings and next model runs will refine resolution near the daily minimum threshold.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Lucknow on August 22?
27°C 34%
26°C 30%
28°C 29%
25°C 27%
22°C or below
2%
23°C
2%
24°C
3%
25°C
27%
26°C
30%
27°C
34%
28°C
29%
29°C
26%
30°C
18%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
1%
27°C 34%
26°C 30%
28°C 29%
25°C 27%
22°C or below
2%
23°C
2%
24°C
3%
25°C
27%
26°C
30%
27°C
34%
28°C
29%
29°C
26%
30°C
18%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 20, 2026, 1:31 PM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent monsoon activity across Uttar Pradesh, with IMD forecasts indicating generally cloudy to overcast skies, scattered rain or thundershowers, and high humidity on August 22, drives the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 26–27°C minimums. Cloud cover and precipitation limit radiative cooling overnight, sustaining elevated minimum temperatures typical of the season rather than allowing sharper drops seen in drier conditions. Official guidance lists a 26°C low alongside a 31°C high, aligning with multiple numerical models showing similar ranges amid 70–90% rain probabilities. Recent heavy rainfall episodes and an active low-pressure influence have reinforced this pattern, keeping trader sentiment balanced across the 25–28°C band while assigning low probability to extremes below 24°C or above 29°C. Updated IMD briefings and next model runs will refine resolution near the daily minimum threshold.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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