Official India Meteorological Department forecasts for Lucknow on October 10 project a minimum near 22°C under generally cloudy skies turning partly clear, supporting moderate nighttime radiative cooling after recent daytime highs around 30–32°C. Post-monsoon conditions with light easterly winds and dew points near 22°C favor this range, consistent with observed minima of 21–23°C in recent days. Trader consensus, reflected in the 52% implied probability for 22°C, aligns with these model outputs from IMD and international sources, though slight variations in cloud cover or local urban heat could shift the exact low by 1–2°C. The market will resolve on the official station reading, with fresh model runs and observations due overnight.