Recent monsoon break conditions driven by a distant tropical depression and prevailing easterlies have reduced southwest monsoon influence over Manila, allowing partly cloudy skies with localized afternoon thunderstorms possible on September 16. PAGASA observations and model consensus indicate typical September nighttime radiative cooling under variable cloud cover, with forecast lows centered near 25–26°C and potential for brief drops below 24°C amid heavy showers or enhanced humidity. These factors support trader emphasis on the 20°C-or-below outcome at 42% implied probability, while mid-20s buckets reflect baseline climatology and uncertainty in exact overnight minimums ahead of the next official update.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Manila on September 16?
20°C or below 45%
30°C or higher 45%
23°C 39%
29°C 39%
20°C or below
45%
21°C
13%
22°C
14%
23°C
39%
24°C
21%
25°C
27%
26°C
28%
27°C
30%
28°C
23%
29°C
39%
30°C or higher
45%
20°C or below 45%
30°C or higher 45%
23°C 39%
29°C 39%
20°C or below
45%
21°C
13%
22°C
14%
23°C
39%
24°C
21%
25°C
27%
26°C
28%
27°C
30%
28°C
23%
29°C
39%
30°C or higher
45%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 14, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Recent monsoon break conditions driven by a distant tropical depression and prevailing easterlies have reduced southwest monsoon influence over Manila, allowing partly cloudy skies with localized afternoon thunderstorms possible on September 16. PAGASA observations and model consensus indicate typical September nighttime radiative cooling under variable cloud cover, with forecast lows centered near 25–26°C and potential for brief drops below 24°C amid heavy showers or enhanced humidity. These factors support trader emphasis on the 20°C-or-below outcome at 42% implied probability, while mid-20s buckets reflect baseline climatology and uncertainty in exact overnight minimums ahead of the next official update.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা