Recent model consensus from Russian meteorological services and international ensembles points to a daily minimum near 12–13°C for Moscow on August 22, with trader probabilities clustered tightly around 11–13°C because small differences in overnight radiative cooling under variable cloud cover and light southerly winds can shift the low by 1–2°C. Persistent overcast skies limit surface heat loss while any brief clearing or timing of light showers could allow brief radiative drops toward 11°C or keep readings closer to 14°C; humidity near 70–80% and weak pressure gradients further moderate extremes. Updated 00Z and 12Z runs show minimal spread in the boundary layer, keeping higher or sub-10°C outcomes as lower-probability tails until final observational adjustments.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Moscow on August 22?
16°C or higher 76%
6°C or below 50%
13°C 42%
9°C 40%
6°C or below
50%
7°C
25%
8°C
37%
9°C
40%
10°C
29%
11°C
41%
12°C
43%
13°C
42%
14°C
39%
15°C
2%
16°C or higher
76%
16°C or higher 76%
6°C or below 50%
13°C 42%
9°C 40%
6°C or below
50%
7°C
25%
8°C
37%
9°C
40%
10°C
29%
11°C
41%
12°C
43%
13°C
42%
14°C
39%
15°C
2%
16°C or higher
76%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 20, 2026, 1:33 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from Russian meteorological services and international ensembles points to a daily minimum near 12–13°C for Moscow on August 22, with trader probabilities clustered tightly around 11–13°C because small differences in overnight radiative cooling under variable cloud cover and light southerly winds can shift the low by 1–2°C. Persistent overcast skies limit surface heat loss while any brief clearing or timing of light showers could allow brief radiative drops toward 11°C or keep readings closer to 14°C; humidity near 70–80% and weak pressure gradients further moderate extremes. Updated 00Z and 12Z runs show minimal spread in the boundary layer, keeping higher or sub-10°C outcomes as lower-probability tails until final observational adjustments.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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