Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for New York City indicates overnight lows on August 10 will likely settle in the mid-70s, driven by a persistent warm, humid air mass with light winds and limited radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies. This setup aligns with the near-even market weighting between 74-75°F and 76-77°F outcomes, as small differences in forecast timing of any weak disturbance or dew-point variations create the primary spread across runs. Historical August climatology shows an average low near 70°F, underscoring the current above-normal warmth, while resolution hinges on official Central Park observations meeting the precise minimum threshold amid typical model uncertainty ranges of 2-4°F.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in NYC on August 10?
76-77°F 29%
74-75°F 23%
78-79°F 17%
72-73°F 14%
63°F or below
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
3%
70-71°F
7%
72-73°F
14%
74-75°F
31%
76-77°F
29%
78-79°F
17%
80-81°F
2%
82°F or higher
2%
76-77°F 29%
74-75°F 23%
78-79°F 17%
72-73°F 14%
63°F or below
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
3%
70-71°F
7%
72-73°F
14%
74-75°F
31%
76-77°F
29%
78-79°F
17%
80-81°F
2%
82°F or higher
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 8, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for New York City indicates overnight lows on August 10 will likely settle in the mid-70s, driven by a persistent warm, humid air mass with light winds and limited radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies. This setup aligns with the near-even market weighting between 74-75°F and 76-77°F outcomes, as small differences in forecast timing of any weak disturbance or dew-point variations create the primary spread across runs. Historical August climatology shows an average low near 70°F, underscoring the current above-normal warmth, while resolution hinges on official Central Park observations meeting the precise minimum threshold amid typical model uncertainty ranges of 2-4°F.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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