Recent Météo-France and ECMWF ensemble guidance indicate peak temperatures in Paris on August 9 will likely reach 33–34 °C under building high pressure, southerly advection of warmer continental air, and strong daytime insolation with minimal cloud cover. Urban heat-island effects and limited boundary-layer mixing amplify maximum readings, while any late-day convective development or slight Atlantic moisture intrusion could cap the high near 32 °C or allow a brief push to 35 °C. Model spread around these thresholds reflects modest uncertainty in exact timing of peak heating and low-level wind shifts, keeping market-implied probabilities tightly clustered between the two leading outcomes. Updated model runs and official observations through the weekend will refine resolution criteria.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Paris on August 9?
Highest temperature in Paris on August 9?
34°C 38%
33°C 31%
35°C 14%
32°C 14%
নতুন
নতুন
Aug 9, 2026
28°C or below
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
5%
32°C
14%
33°C
31%
34°C
38%
35°C
14%
36°C
2%
37°C
1%
38°C or higher
1%
34°C 38%
33°C 31%
35°C 14%
32°C 14%
নতুন
নতুন
Aug 9, 2026
28°C or below
$678 Vol.
1%
29°C
$12 Vol.
1%
30°C
$12 Vol.
2%
31°C
$65 Vol.
5%
32°C
$209 Vol.
14%
33°C
$165 Vol.
31%
34°C
$261 Vol.
38%
35°C
$19 Vol.
14%
36°C
$25 Vol.
2%
37°C
$19 Vol.
1%
38°C or higher
$25 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Météo-France and ECMWF ensemble guidance indicate peak temperatures in Paris on August 9 will likely reach 33–34 °C under building high pressure, southerly advection of warmer continental air, and strong daytime insolation with minimal cloud cover. Urban heat-island effects and limited boundary-layer mixing amplify maximum readings, while any late-day convective development or slight Atlantic moisture intrusion could cap the high near 32 °C or allow a brief push to 35 °C. Model spread around these thresholds reflects modest uncertainty in exact timing of peak heating and low-level wind shifts, keeping market-implied probabilities tightly clustered between the two leading outcomes. Updated model runs and official observations through the weekend will refine resolution criteria.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
ভলিউম
$1,490শেষ তারিখ
Aug 9, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Météo-France and ECMWF ensemble guidance indicate peak temperatures in Paris on August 9 will likely reach 33–34 °C under building high pressure, southerly advection of warmer continental air, and strong daytime insolation with minimal cloud cover. Urban heat-island effects and limited boundary-layer mixing amplify maximum readings, while any late-day convective development or slight Atlantic moisture intrusion could cap the high near 32 °C or allow a brief push to 35 °C. Model spread around these thresholds reflects modest uncertainty in exact timing of peak heating and low-level wind shifts, keeping market-implied probabilities tightly clustered between the two leading outcomes. Updated model runs and official observations through the weekend will refine resolution criteria.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$1,490শেষ তারিখ
Aug 9, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Météo-France and ECMWF ensemble guidance indicate peak temperatures in Paris on August 9 will likely reach 33–34 °C under building high pressure, southerly advection of warmer continental air, and strong daytime insolation with minimal cloud cover. Urban heat-island effects and limited boundary-layer mixing amplify maximum readings, while any late-day convective development or slight Atlantic moisture intrusion could cap the high near 32 °C or allow a brief push to 35 °C. Model spread around these thresholds reflects modest uncertainty in exact timing of peak heating and low-level wind shifts, keeping market-implied probabilities tightly clustered between the two leading outcomes. Updated model runs and official observations through the weekend will refine resolution criteria.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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