Current forecast models from the National Weather Service indicate a moderate marine layer influence and onshore flow holding peak temperatures in Los Angeles near 78–79°F on August 6, supporting the 57.5% market-implied probability for that bin. This aligns with typical early-August climatology for the Los Angeles basin, where Pacific sea-surface temperatures and coastal stratus moderate extremes unless offshore winds or high-pressure ridging develop. Ensemble guidance shows limited day-to-day variability, with only modest warming potential if the marine layer thins overnight, explaining the secondary 35.5% weighting on 76–77°F and the low odds on bins above 80°F. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Los Angeles on August 6?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on August 6?
78-79°F 56%
76-77°F 36%
80-81°F 5%
74-75°F 4%
নতুন
$14,175 Vol.
নতুন
$14,175 Vol.
Aug 6, 2026
69°F or below
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
4%
76-77°F
36%
78-79°F
56%
80-81°F
5%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
1%
88°F or higher
<1%
78-79°F 56%
76-77°F 36%
80-81°F 5%
74-75°F 4%
নতুন
$14,175 Vol.
নতুন
$14,175 Vol.
Aug 6, 2026
69°F or below
$541 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$634 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$440 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$647 Vol.
4%
76-77°F
$1,960 Vol.
36%
78-79°F
$4,647 Vol.
56%
80-81°F
$574 Vol.
5%
82-83°F
$359 Vol.
1%
84-85°F
$636 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$1,900 Vol.
1%
88°F or higher
$1,835 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from the National Weather Service indicate a moderate marine layer influence and onshore flow holding peak temperatures in Los Angeles near 78–79°F on August 6, supporting the 57.5% market-implied probability for that bin. This aligns with typical early-August climatology for the Los Angeles basin, where Pacific sea-surface temperatures and coastal stratus moderate extremes unless offshore winds or high-pressure ridging develop. Ensemble guidance shows limited day-to-day variability, with only modest warming potential if the marine layer thins overnight, explaining the secondary 35.5% weighting on 76–77°F and the low odds on bins above 80°F. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 4, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
ভলিউম
$14,175শেষ তারিখ
Aug 6, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 4, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from the National Weather Service indicate a moderate marine layer influence and onshore flow holding peak temperatures in Los Angeles near 78–79°F on August 6, supporting the 57.5% market-implied probability for that bin. This aligns with typical early-August climatology for the Los Angeles basin, where Pacific sea-surface temperatures and coastal stratus moderate extremes unless offshore winds or high-pressure ridging develop. Ensemble guidance shows limited day-to-day variability, with only modest warming potential if the marine layer thins overnight, explaining the secondary 35.5% weighting on 76–77°F and the low odds on bins above 80°F. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$14,175শেষ তারিখ
Aug 6, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 4, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from the National Weather Service indicate a moderate marine layer influence and onshore flow holding peak temperatures in Los Angeles near 78–79°F on August 6, supporting the 57.5% market-implied probability for that bin. This aligns with typical early-August climatology for the Los Angeles basin, where Pacific sea-surface temperatures and coastal stratus moderate extremes unless offshore winds or high-pressure ridging develop. Ensemble guidance shows limited day-to-day variability, with only modest warming potential if the marine layer thins overnight, explaining the secondary 35.5% weighting on 76–77°F and the low odds on bins above 80°F. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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