Traders heavily favor the 34°C outcome for Chongqing’s August 5 maximum because official forecasts and regional model consensus point to a peak near that threshold under subtropical high pressure, light winds, and strong daytime insolation. Typical August climatology features highs of 32–35 °C in this mountainous, humid basin, with recent guidance from sources such as AccuWeather and local meteorological centers showing 34–35 °C as the most probable range amid partly cloudy skies and limited convective cooling. The secondary 33 °C probability reflects uncertainty in exact timing of any late-day showers or slight model spread, while lower odds for 35 °C or above account for the moderating influence of the city’s topography and current moisture levels that historically cap extremes short of major heatwave amplification. Updated short-range model runs and any late-morning surface observations remain the key near-term variables that could refine these market-implied probabilities before official daily records close.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Chongqing on August 5?
34°C 70%
35°C 22%
33°C 8%
36°C or higher 1.7%
$39,302 Vol.
$39,302 Vol.
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
8%
34°C
70%
35°C
22%
36°C or higher
2%
34°C 70%
35°C 22%
33°C 8%
36°C or higher 1.7%
$39,302 Vol.
$39,302 Vol.
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
8%
34°C
70%
35°C
22%
36°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders heavily favor the 34°C outcome for Chongqing’s August 5 maximum because official forecasts and regional model consensus point to a peak near that threshold under subtropical high pressure, light winds, and strong daytime insolation. Typical August climatology features highs of 32–35 °C in this mountainous, humid basin, with recent guidance from sources such as AccuWeather and local meteorological centers showing 34–35 °C as the most probable range amid partly cloudy skies and limited convective cooling. The secondary 33 °C probability reflects uncertainty in exact timing of any late-day showers or slight model spread, while lower odds for 35 °C or above account for the moderating influence of the city’s topography and current moisture levels that historically cap extremes short of major heatwave amplification. Updated short-range model runs and any late-morning surface observations remain the key near-term variables that could refine these market-implied probabilities before official daily records close.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড

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