**Trader consensus has locked onto 72-73°F as the highest temperature recorded in San Francisco on August 4, 2026, reflecting the official observation published by the National Weather Service at San Francisco International Airport (KSFO).** This outcome aligns with the station’s climatological normal high of ~73°F for early August and the moderating influence of the persistent marine layer and onshore sea breeze, which prevented stronger inland heat from fully penetrating the immediate coast despite a broader regional heat wave. Forecast models had shown only modest warming potential under weak high pressure, and post-event data confirmed no exceedance of the 72-73°F bin. While measurement discrepancies between stations or minor reporting revisions could theoretically shift resolution, the 100% market-implied probability indicates high confidence in the verified NWS record.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in San Francisco on August 4?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on August 4?
72-73°F 100.0%
67°F or below <1%
68-69°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
$49,297 Vol.
$49,297 Vol.
Aug 4, 2026
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
100%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F or higher
<1%
72-73°F 100.0%
67°F or below <1%
68-69°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
$49,297 Vol.
$49,297 Vol.
Aug 4, 2026
67°F or below
$1,466 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$1,628 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$5,995 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$9,739 Vol.
100%
74-75°F
$3,759 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$6,498 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$4,171 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$5,267 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$4,037 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$4,417 Vol.
<1%
86°F or higher
$2,319 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has locked onto 72-73°F as the highest temperature recorded in San Francisco on August 4, 2026, reflecting the official observation published by the National Weather Service at San Francisco International Airport (KSFO).** This outcome aligns with the station’s climatological normal high of ~73°F for early August and the moderating influence of the persistent marine layer and onshore sea breeze, which prevented stronger inland heat from fully penetrating the immediate coast despite a broader regional heat wave. Forecast models had shown only modest warming potential under weak high pressure, and post-event data confirmed no exceedance of the 72-73°F bin. While measurement discrepancies between stations or minor reporting revisions could theoretically shift resolution, the 100% market-implied probability indicates high confidence in the verified NWS record.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
ভলিউম
$49,297শেষ তারিখ
Aug 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has locked onto 72-73°F as the highest temperature recorded in San Francisco on August 4, 2026, reflecting the official observation published by the National Weather Service at San Francisco International Airport (KSFO).** This outcome aligns with the station’s climatological normal high of ~73°F for early August and the moderating influence of the persistent marine layer and onshore sea breeze, which prevented stronger inland heat from fully penetrating the immediate coast despite a broader regional heat wave. Forecast models had shown only modest warming potential under weak high pressure, and post-event data confirmed no exceedance of the 72-73°F bin. While measurement discrepancies between stations or minor reporting revisions could theoretically shift resolution, the 100% market-implied probability indicates high confidence in the verified NWS record.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$49,297শেষ তারিখ
Aug 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus has locked onto 72-73°F as the highest temperature recorded in San Francisco on August 4, 2026, reflecting the official observation published by the National Weather Service at San Francisco International Airport (KSFO).** This outcome aligns with the station’s climatological normal high of ~73°F for early August and the moderating influence of the persistent marine layer and onshore sea breeze, which prevented stronger inland heat from fully penetrating the immediate coast despite a broader regional heat wave. Forecast models had shown only modest warming potential under weak high pressure, and post-event data confirmed no exceedance of the 72-73°F bin. While measurement discrepancies between stations or minor reporting revisions could theoretically shift resolution, the 100% market-implied probability indicates high confidence in the verified NWS record.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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