Recent short-range forecasts from European models, including those referenced by AEMET and international agencies, indicate Madrid is positioned under a persistent high-pressure ridge favoring clear skies and strong daytime heating on August 6, with ensemble guidance clustering around 36–38°C maxima. This setup, combined with dry soil conditions from prior weeks and light winds, supports the market-implied concentration on 37°C (54.5%) and 38°C (39.0%) as the most probable outcomes under current thermodynamic profiles. Minor model spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of peak insolation accounts for the secondary probability on 36°C, while historical August extremes near 40°C remain low-probability tail risks absent a sharper ridge amplification. Updated model runs and any AEMET nowcasts tomorrow morning will be key near-term drivers for further shifts.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Madrid on August 6?
Highest temperature in Madrid on August 6?
37°C 55%
38°C 40%
36°C 5%
39°C 3%
নতুন
$22,083 Vol.
নতুন
$22,083 Vol.
Aug 6, 2026
33°C or below
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
5%
37°C
55%
38°C
40%
39°C
3%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C or higher
<1%
37°C 55%
38°C 40%
36°C 5%
39°C 3%
নতুন
$22,083 Vol.
নতুন
$22,083 Vol.
Aug 6, 2026
33°C or below
$685 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$2,184 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$2,262 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$4,871 Vol.
5%
37°C
$3,762 Vol.
55%
38°C
$3,720 Vol.
40%
39°C
$2,190 Vol.
3%
40°C
$1,051 Vol.
<1%
41°C
$619 Vol.
<1%
42°C
$292 Vol.
<1%
43°C or higher
$448 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from European models, including those referenced by AEMET and international agencies, indicate Madrid is positioned under a persistent high-pressure ridge favoring clear skies and strong daytime heating on August 6, with ensemble guidance clustering around 36–38°C maxima. This setup, combined with dry soil conditions from prior weeks and light winds, supports the market-implied concentration on 37°C (54.5%) and 38°C (39.0%) as the most probable outcomes under current thermodynamic profiles. Minor model spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of peak insolation accounts for the secondary probability on 36°C, while historical August extremes near 40°C remain low-probability tail risks absent a sharper ridge amplification. Updated model runs and any AEMET nowcasts tomorrow morning will be key near-term drivers for further shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
ভলিউম
$22,083শেষ তারিখ
Aug 6, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from European models, including those referenced by AEMET and international agencies, indicate Madrid is positioned under a persistent high-pressure ridge favoring clear skies and strong daytime heating on August 6, with ensemble guidance clustering around 36–38°C maxima. This setup, combined with dry soil conditions from prior weeks and light winds, supports the market-implied concentration on 37°C (54.5%) and 38°C (39.0%) as the most probable outcomes under current thermodynamic profiles. Minor model spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of peak insolation accounts for the secondary probability on 36°C, while historical August extremes near 40°C remain low-probability tail risks absent a sharper ridge amplification. Updated model runs and any AEMET nowcasts tomorrow morning will be key near-term drivers for further shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$22,083শেষ তারিখ
Aug 6, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecasts from European models, including those referenced by AEMET and international agencies, indicate Madrid is positioned under a persistent high-pressure ridge favoring clear skies and strong daytime heating on August 6, with ensemble guidance clustering around 36–38°C maxima. This setup, combined with dry soil conditions from prior weeks and light winds, supports the market-implied concentration on 37°C (54.5%) and 38°C (39.0%) as the most probable outcomes under current thermodynamic profiles. Minor model spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of peak insolation accounts for the secondary probability on 36°C, while historical August extremes near 40°C remain low-probability tail risks absent a sharper ridge amplification. Updated model runs and any AEMET nowcasts tomorrow morning will be key near-term drivers for further shifts.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা