Hong Kong Observatory forecasts call for a maximum near 33 °C on August 5 under subtropical high pressure, sunny periods, light winds, and intense solar heating typical of peak summer. Morning readings near 29 °C align with long-term August climatology, which already incorporates a slight warming trend from neutral ENSO conditions and urban heat-island effects that frequently push official urban maxima to this threshold. Traders have coalesced around 33 °C as the overwhelming market-implied outcome because current model consensus and historical analogs support it reaching that level before any late-day convection. The main variables that could realistically alter the result remain unexpected afternoon cloud build-up, isolated showers, or a sharper model revision that caps the peak one degree lower.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 5?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 5?
33°C 99.8%
34°C <1%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
$251,563 Vol.
$251,563 Vol.
Aug 5, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
100%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
33°C 99.8%
34°C <1%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
$251,563 Vol.
$251,563 Vol.
Aug 5, 2026
27°C or below
$7,318 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$5,733 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$15,184 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$49,287 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$30,067 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$38,858 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$33,901 Vol.
100%
34°C
$34,142 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$20,066 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$9,638 Vol.
<1%
37°C or higher
$7,368 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory forecasts call for a maximum near 33 °C on August 5 under subtropical high pressure, sunny periods, light winds, and intense solar heating typical of peak summer. Morning readings near 29 °C align with long-term August climatology, which already incorporates a slight warming trend from neutral ENSO conditions and urban heat-island effects that frequently push official urban maxima to this threshold. Traders have coalesced around 33 °C as the overwhelming market-implied outcome because current model consensus and historical analogs support it reaching that level before any late-day convection. The main variables that could realistically alter the result remain unexpected afternoon cloud build-up, isolated showers, or a sharper model revision that caps the peak one degree lower.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
ভলিউম
$251,563শেষ তারিখ
Aug 5, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory forecasts call for a maximum near 33 °C on August 5 under subtropical high pressure, sunny periods, light winds, and intense solar heating typical of peak summer. Morning readings near 29 °C align with long-term August climatology, which already incorporates a slight warming trend from neutral ENSO conditions and urban heat-island effects that frequently push official urban maxima to this threshold. Traders have coalesced around 33 °C as the overwhelming market-implied outcome because current model consensus and historical analogs support it reaching that level before any late-day convection. The main variables that could realistically alter the result remain unexpected afternoon cloud build-up, isolated showers, or a sharper model revision that caps the peak one degree lower.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ভলিউম
$251,563শেষ তারিখ
Aug 5, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hong Kong Observatory forecasts call for a maximum near 33 °C on August 5 under subtropical high pressure, sunny periods, light winds, and intense solar heating typical of peak summer. Morning readings near 29 °C align with long-term August climatology, which already incorporates a slight warming trend from neutral ENSO conditions and urban heat-island effects that frequently push official urban maxima to this threshold. Traders have coalesced around 33 °C as the overwhelming market-implied outcome because current model consensus and historical analogs support it reaching that level before any late-day convection. The main variables that could realistically alter the result remain unexpected afternoon cloud build-up, isolated showers, or a sharper model revision that caps the peak one degree lower.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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