**Market-implied odds reflect overwhelming trader consensus that Beijing's official daily maximum temperature on August 5, 2026, will reach exactly 37°C.** Numerical weather prediction models from major centers show strong consensus for this outcome, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, minimal cloud cover, and strong daytime solar insolation under typical late-summer conditions. Historical climatology supports highs in the mid-30s°C range during early August, with recent model runs consistently pointing to 36–38°C peaks before any localized cooling from sea-breeze effects or brief convection. Realistic scenarios that could shift the result include unexpected afternoon thunderstorm development, revised observational data from the China Meteorological Administration, or rapid changes in steering flow that alter boundary-layer heating. New forecast updates and official observations through the afternoon will provide the clearest near-term signals for any deviation.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Beijing on August 5?
Highest temperature in Beijing on August 5?
37°C 99.8%
38°C <1%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
$40,692 Vol.
$40,692 Vol.
Aug 5, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
100%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
37°C 99.8%
38°C <1%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
$40,692 Vol.
$40,692 Vol.
Aug 5, 2026
29°C or below
$308 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$1,024 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$1,381 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$2,340 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$4,393 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$4,208 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$5,232 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$5,374 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$6,757 Vol.
100%
38°C
$5,899 Vol.
<1%
39°C or higher
$3,776 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Market-implied odds reflect overwhelming trader consensus that Beijing's official daily maximum temperature on August 5, 2026, will reach exactly 37°C.** Numerical weather prediction models from major centers show strong consensus for this outcome, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, minimal cloud cover, and strong daytime solar insolation under typical late-summer conditions. Historical climatology supports highs in the mid-30s°C range during early August, with recent model runs consistently pointing to 36–38°C peaks before any localized cooling from sea-breeze effects or brief convection.
Realistic scenarios that could shift the result include unexpected afternoon thunderstorm development, revised observational data from the China Meteorological Administration, or rapid changes in steering flow that alter boundary-layer heating. New forecast updates and official observations through the afternoon will provide the clearest near-term signals for any deviation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
ভলিউম
$40,692শেষ তারিখ
Aug 5, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Market-implied odds reflect overwhelming trader consensus that Beijing's official daily maximum temperature on August 5, 2026, will reach exactly 37°C.** Numerical weather prediction models from major centers show strong consensus for this outcome, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, minimal cloud cover, and strong daytime solar insolation under typical late-summer conditions. Historical climatology supports highs in the mid-30s°C range during early August, with recent model runs consistently pointing to 36–38°C peaks before any localized cooling from sea-breeze effects or brief convection.
Realistic scenarios that could shift the result include unexpected afternoon thunderstorm development, revised observational data from the China Meteorological Administration, or rapid changes in steering flow that alter boundary-layer heating. New forecast updates and official observations through the afternoon will provide the clearest near-term signals for any deviation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$40,692শেষ তারিখ
Aug 5, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Market-implied odds reflect overwhelming trader consensus that Beijing's official daily maximum temperature on August 5, 2026, will reach exactly 37°C.** Numerical weather prediction models from major centers show strong consensus for this outcome, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, minimal cloud cover, and strong daytime solar insolation under typical late-summer conditions. Historical climatology supports highs in the mid-30s°C range during early August, with recent model runs consistently pointing to 36–38°C peaks before any localized cooling from sea-breeze effects or brief convection. Realistic scenarios that could shift the result include unexpected afternoon thunderstorm development, revised observational data from the China Meteorological Administration, or rapid changes in steering flow that alter boundary-layer heating. New forecast updates and official observations through the afternoon will provide the clearest near-term signals for any deviation.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা