Traders assign a 66% implied probability to a 35°C or higher peak in Chengdu on August 5, 2026, reflecting summer climatology in the Sichuan Basin where early-month subtropical highs often produce 33–36°C maxima amid high humidity and weak winds. Official extended forecasts show a daily high near 34°C (93°F) under partly cloudy skies with scattered thunderstorms, consistent with August averages of 30–35°C and occasional early-month spikes to 38°C during heat episodes. Basin topography enhances nighttime heat retention and limits cooling, while model consensus points to minimal frontal relief on this date. Updated observations and any revisions to intensity or timing of convection will determine whether readings stay near 34°C or push into the leading 35°C+ bracket before resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Chengdu on August 5?
35°C or higher 63%
34°C 31%
33°C 4%
25°C or below <1%
$32,438 Vol.
$32,438 Vol.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
4%
34°C
31%
35°C or higher
63%
35°C or higher 63%
34°C 31%
33°C 4%
25°C or below <1%
$32,438 Vol.
$32,438 Vol.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
4%
34°C
31%
35°C or higher
63%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign a 66% implied probability to a 35°C or higher peak in Chengdu on August 5, 2026, reflecting summer climatology in the Sichuan Basin where early-month subtropical highs often produce 33–36°C maxima amid high humidity and weak winds. Official extended forecasts show a daily high near 34°C (93°F) under partly cloudy skies with scattered thunderstorms, consistent with August averages of 30–35°C and occasional early-month spikes to 38°C during heat episodes. Basin topography enhances nighttime heat retention and limits cooling, while model consensus points to minimal frontal relief on this date. Updated observations and any revisions to intensity or timing of convection will determine whether readings stay near 34°C or push into the leading 35°C+ bracket before resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড


বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা