**Persistent high-pressure blocking and warm advection from North Africa continue to drive elevated temperatures across central Spain, with ensemble forecasts positioning Madrid’s maximum on August 7 near 37–39 °C.** The ongoing European heat dome, which has produced record June–July warmth and multiple heatwaves, maintains clear skies, light winds, and strong insolation that favor daytime maxima several degrees above the long-term August average of roughly 32–33 °C. Recent model runs show limited cooling until a possible weak trough arrives after the 7th, keeping the highest probability mass on 38 °C (48 %) and 39 °C (29 %). Lower outcomes (37 °C or below) remain possible only if localized cloud cover or a slightly stronger northerly flow develops, while 40 °C-plus scenarios require additional warming not currently supported by the latest guidance. Traders are therefore weighting the consensus forecast range most heavily ahead of the final observational data.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Madrid on August 7?
38°C 48%
39°C 29%
37°C 10%
40°C 9%
35°C or below
2%
36°C
4%
37°C
10%
38°C
48%
39°C
29%
40°C
9%
41°C
2%
42°C
1%
43°C
<1%
44°C
<1%
45°C or higher
<1%
38°C 48%
39°C 29%
37°C 10%
40°C 9%
35°C or below
2%
36°C
4%
37°C
10%
38°C
48%
39°C
29%
40°C
9%
41°C
2%
42°C
1%
43°C
<1%
44°C
<1%
45°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent high-pressure blocking and warm advection from North Africa continue to drive elevated temperatures across central Spain, with ensemble forecasts positioning Madrid’s maximum on August 7 near 37–39 °C.** The ongoing European heat dome, which has produced record June–July warmth and multiple heatwaves, maintains clear skies, light winds, and strong insolation that favor daytime maxima several degrees above the long-term August average of roughly 32–33 °C. Recent model runs show limited cooling until a possible weak trough arrives after the 7th, keeping the highest probability mass on 38 °C (48 %) and 39 °C (29 %). Lower outcomes (37 °C or below) remain possible only if localized cloud cover or a slightly stronger northerly flow develops, while 40 °C-plus scenarios require additional warming not currently supported by the latest guidance. Traders are therefore weighting the consensus forecast range most heavily ahead of the final observational data.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড

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