Latest numerical weather prediction models indicate a modest chance for Shanghai's August 7 maximum to reach 34 °C rather than 33 °C, driven by expected clear to partly cloudy skies, moderate southerly flow, and typical urban heat-island amplification under high humidity. Subtropical summer conditions routinely produce daily highs near 32 °C, but small differences in cloud timing or boundary-layer moisture can shift the peak by 1–2 °C, creating the tight 41.5 %–34.5 % split between the two leading outcomes. Ensemble spread in global and regional models remains wide enough that 32 °C or 35 °C each retain roughly 10 % implied probability, underscoring the sensitivity of short-range temperature forecasts this close to the event.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Shanghai on August 7?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on August 7?
34°C 41%
33°C 34%
35°C 10%
32°C 10%
নতুন
$12,824 Vol.
নতুন
$12,824 Vol.
Aug 7, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
10%
33°C
34%
34°C
41%
35°C
10%
36°C
3%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
34°C 41%
33°C 34%
35°C 10%
32°C 10%
নতুন
$12,824 Vol.
নতুন
$12,824 Vol.
Aug 7, 2026
28°C or below
$561 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$197 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$307 Vol.
1%
31°C
$304 Vol.
2%
32°C
$1,822 Vol.
10%
33°C
$2,103 Vol.
34%
34°C
$2,507 Vol.
41%
35°C
$2,951 Vol.
10%
36°C
$1,193 Vol.
3%
37°C
$565 Vol.
<1%
38°C or higher
$316 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models indicate a modest chance for Shanghai's August 7 maximum to reach 34 °C rather than 33 °C, driven by expected clear to partly cloudy skies, moderate southerly flow, and typical urban heat-island amplification under high humidity. Subtropical summer conditions routinely produce daily highs near 32 °C, but small differences in cloud timing or boundary-layer moisture can shift the peak by 1–2 °C, creating the tight 41.5 %–34.5 % split between the two leading outcomes. Ensemble spread in global and regional models remains wide enough that 32 °C or 35 °C each retain roughly 10 % implied probability, underscoring the sensitivity of short-range temperature forecasts this close to the event.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
ভলিউম
$12,824শেষ তারিখ
Aug 7, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models indicate a modest chance for Shanghai's August 7 maximum to reach 34 °C rather than 33 °C, driven by expected clear to partly cloudy skies, moderate southerly flow, and typical urban heat-island amplification under high humidity. Subtropical summer conditions routinely produce daily highs near 32 °C, but small differences in cloud timing or boundary-layer moisture can shift the peak by 1–2 °C, creating the tight 41.5 %–34.5 % split between the two leading outcomes. Ensemble spread in global and regional models remains wide enough that 32 °C or 35 °C each retain roughly 10 % implied probability, underscoring the sensitivity of short-range temperature forecasts this close to the event.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$12,824শেষ তারিখ
Aug 7, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction models indicate a modest chance for Shanghai's August 7 maximum to reach 34 °C rather than 33 °C, driven by expected clear to partly cloudy skies, moderate southerly flow, and typical urban heat-island amplification under high humidity. Subtropical summer conditions routinely produce daily highs near 32 °C, but small differences in cloud timing or boundary-layer moisture can shift the peak by 1–2 °C, creating the tight 41.5 %–34.5 % split between the two leading outcomes. Ensemble spread in global and regional models remains wide enough that 32 °C or 35 °C each retain roughly 10 % implied probability, underscoring the sensitivity of short-range temperature forecasts this close to the event.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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