Current National Weather Service guidance and model consensus indicate a seasonable to slightly above-normal high near 84–86°F for Chicago on August 7, driven by weak southwesterly flow under building high pressure with limited cloud cover and minimal lake-breeze suppression. This aligns with 1991–2020 normals of 83.5°F while reflecting the absence of strong cold-air advection or organized convection that has kept recent daily maxima in the upper 70s to low 80s. Key differentiating variables include the strength and timing of any lake breeze front, boundary-layer mixing depth, and small model spread in 850 hPa temperatures; final NWS observations at O’Hare will resolve the exact bin. Trader positioning around the 84–87°F range reflects this narrow uncertainty band ahead of tomorrow’s verification.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Chicago on August 7?
86-87°F 39%
84-85°F 35%
88-89°F 17%
82-83°F 10%
75°F or below
1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
3%
80-81°F
3%
82-83°F
10%
84-85°F
35%
86-87°F
39%
88-89°F
17%
90-91°F
4%
92-93°F
1%
94°F or higher
<1%
86-87°F 39%
84-85°F 35%
88-89°F 17%
82-83°F 10%
75°F or below
1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
3%
80-81°F
3%
82-83°F
10%
84-85°F
35%
86-87°F
39%
88-89°F
17%
90-91°F
4%
92-93°F
1%
94°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 5, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service guidance and model consensus indicate a seasonable to slightly above-normal high near 84–86°F for Chicago on August 7, driven by weak southwesterly flow under building high pressure with limited cloud cover and minimal lake-breeze suppression. This aligns with 1991–2020 normals of 83.5°F while reflecting the absence of strong cold-air advection or organized convection that has kept recent daily maxima in the upper 70s to low 80s. Key differentiating variables include the strength and timing of any lake breeze front, boundary-layer mixing depth, and small model spread in 850 hPa temperatures; final NWS observations at O’Hare will resolve the exact bin. Trader positioning around the 84–87°F range reflects this narrow uncertainty band ahead of tomorrow’s verification.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড


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