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icon for Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 6?

Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 6?

icon for Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 6?

Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 6?

Aug 5

Aug 6

Aug 7

Aug 5

Aug 6

Aug 7

27°C 50%

28°C 27%

26°C 13%

25°C 12%

Polymarket
নতুন

$11,386 Vol.

27°C 50%

28°C 27%

26°C 13%

25°C 12%

Polymarket
নতুন

$11,386 Vol.

21°C or below

$381 Vol.

<1%

22°C

$777 Vol.

<1%

23°C

$459 Vol.

<1%

24°C

$561 Vol.

4%

25°C

$1,026 Vol.

12%

26°C

$1,058 Vol.

13%

27°C

$1,770 Vol.

50%

28°C

$2,026 Vol.

27%

29°C

$2,385 Vol.

1%

30°C

$473 Vol.

<1%

31°C or higher

$469 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Subtropical high pressure and light winds under clear or mainly fine conditions are positioning the overnight low near 27°C as the consensus outcome for August 6.** Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance explicitly forecasts a minimum of 27°C with a maximum near 33°C, consistent with recent model runs showing limited cloud cover and only isolated showers possible. This aligns with typical August climatology, where urban-area overnight lows average around 26–27°C amid seasonal warmth and neutral-to-favorable ENSO conditions that have kept temperatures normal to slightly above normal. Trader emphasis on 27°C (53.5% implied probability) and 28°C (22.5%) reflects the narrow expected range, while lower outcomes like 25°C carry reduced weight absent any significant cooling signals in current forecasts. Updated HKO briefings and any late convective activity remain the main near-term variables that could influence final recorded values before midnight resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ভলিউম
$11,386
শেষ তারিখ
Aug 6, 2026
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Subtropical high pressure and light winds under clear or mainly fine conditions are positioning the overnight low near 27°C as the consensus outcome for August 6.** Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance explicitly forecasts a minimum of 27°C with a maximum near 33°C, consistent with recent model runs showing limited cloud cover and only isolated showers possible. This aligns with typical August climatology, where urban-area overnight lows average around 26–27°C amid seasonal warmth and neutral-to-favorable ENSO conditions that have kept temperatures normal to slightly above normal. Trader emphasis on 27°C (53.5% implied probability) and 28°C (22.5%) reflects the narrow expected range, while lower outcomes like 25°C carry reduced weight absent any significant cooling signals in current forecasts. Updated HKO briefings and any late convective activity remain the main near-term variables that could influence final recorded values before midnight resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ভলিউম
$11,386
শেষ তারিখ
Aug 6, 2026
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।

সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা

"Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 6?" হলো Polymarket-এ 11 সম্ভাব্য ফলাফলসহ একটি প্রেডিকশন মার্কেট যেখানে ট্রেডাররা কী ঘটবে বলে বিশ্বাস করে তার ভিত্তিতে শেয়ার কেনাবেচা করে। বর্তমান শীর্ষ ফলাফল "27°C" 50%-এ, তারপর "28°C" 27%-এ। দাম রিয়েল-টাইম ক্রাউড-সোর্সড সম্ভাবনা প্রতিফলিত করে। মার্কেট রেজোলিউশনে সঠিক ফলাফলের শেয়ার প্রতিটি $1-এ রিডিমযোগ্য।

আজ পর্যন্ত, "Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 6?" মোট $11.4K ট্রেডিং ভলিউম তৈরি করেছে মার্কেট Aug 4, 2026-এ লঞ্চ হওয়ার পর থেকে। এই স্তরের ট্রেডিং অ্যাক্টিভিটি Polymarket কমিউনিটির শক্তিশালী এনগেজমেন্ট প্রতিফলিত করে এবং নিশ্চিত করতে সাহায্য করে যে বর্তমান অডস মার্কেট অংশগ্রহণকারীদের একটি গভীর পুল দ্বারা অবহিত। আপনি এই পেজে সরাসরি লাইভ মূল্য মুভমেন্ট ট্র্যাক করতে ও যেকোনো ফলাফলে ট্রেড করতে পারেন।

"Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 6?"-এ ট্রেড করতে, এই পেজে তালিকাভুক্ত 11 উপলব্ধ ফলাফল ব্রাউজ করুন। প্রতিটি ফলাফল মার্কেটের ইম্প্লায়েড প্রবাবিলিটি প্রতিনিধিত্ব করে একটি বর্তমান দাম দেখায়। পজিশন নিতে, আপনি যে ফলাফলকে সবচেয়ে সম্ভাবনাময় মনে করেন সেটি নির্বাচন করুন, এর পক্ষে "Yes" বা বিপক্ষে "No" বেছে নিন, আপনার পরিমাণ লিখুন এবং "Trade" ক্লিক করুন। মার্কেট রেজলভ হলে আপনার নির্বাচিত ফলাফল সঠিক হলে, আপনার "Yes" শেয়ার প্রতিটি $1 দেয়। ভুল হলে, $0 দেয়।

"Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 6?"-এর বর্তমান ফ্রন্টরানার "27°C" 50%-এ, মানে মার্কেট সেই ফলাফলে 50% সম্ভাবনা নির্ধারণ করে। পরবর্তী নিকটতম ফলাফল "28°C" 27%-এ। এই অডস রিয়েল-টাইমে আপডেট হয়।

"Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 6?"-এর রেজোলিউশন নিয়ম সঠিকভাবে সংজ্ঞায়িত করে প্রতিটি ফলাফলকে বিজয়ী ঘোষণা করতে কী ঘটতে হবে — ফলাফল নির্ধারণে ব্যবহৃত অফিসিয়াল ডেটা সোর্স সহ। আপনি এই পেজের মন্তব্যের উপরে "Rules" সেকশনে সম্পূর্ণ রেজোলিউশন মানদণ্ড রিভিউ করতে পারেন।