**Subtropical high pressure and light winds under clear or mainly fine conditions are positioning the overnight low near 27°C as the consensus outcome for August 6.** Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance explicitly forecasts a minimum of 27°C with a maximum near 33°C, consistent with recent model runs showing limited cloud cover and only isolated showers possible. This aligns with typical August climatology, where urban-area overnight lows average around 26–27°C amid seasonal warmth and neutral-to-favorable ENSO conditions that have kept temperatures normal to slightly above normal. Trader emphasis on 27°C (53.5% implied probability) and 28°C (22.5%) reflects the narrow expected range, while lower outcomes like 25°C carry reduced weight absent any significant cooling signals in current forecasts. Updated HKO briefings and any late convective activity remain the main near-term variables that could influence final recorded values before midnight resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 6?
27°C 50%
28°C 27%
26°C 13%
25°C 12%
$11,386 Vol.
$11,386 Vol.
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
4%
25°C
12%
26°C
13%
27°C
50%
28°C
27%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
27°C 50%
28°C 27%
26°C 13%
25°C 12%
$11,386 Vol.
$11,386 Vol.
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
4%
25°C
12%
26°C
13%
27°C
50%
28°C
27%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Subtropical high pressure and light winds under clear or mainly fine conditions are positioning the overnight low near 27°C as the consensus outcome for August 6.** Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance explicitly forecasts a minimum of 27°C with a maximum near 33°C, consistent with recent model runs showing limited cloud cover and only isolated showers possible. This aligns with typical August climatology, where urban-area overnight lows average around 26–27°C amid seasonal warmth and neutral-to-favorable ENSO conditions that have kept temperatures normal to slightly above normal. Trader emphasis on 27°C (53.5% implied probability) and 28°C (22.5%) reflects the narrow expected range, while lower outcomes like 25°C carry reduced weight absent any significant cooling signals in current forecasts. Updated HKO briefings and any late convective activity remain the main near-term variables that could influence final recorded values before midnight resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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