Current forecast models and the Hong Kong Observatory's seasonal outlook indicate normal to above-normal temperatures for early August 2026, with typical overnight lows near 26–28°C shaped by warm South China Sea waters, high humidity, and variable monsoon flow. Trader consensus favoring 27–28°C reflects expectations of moderate cloud cover or scattered showers that limit radiative cooling overnight, while lower probabilities for 26°C or below hinge on stronger northeasterly winds or clearer skies enhancing heat loss. Historical August minima average around 26–27°C, and short-term model runs show limited divergence this close to the date, though any shift in rainfall timing or wind patterns could tip the minimum by 1°C.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 8?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 8?
28°C 40%
27°C 38%
26°C 15%
29°C 5%
নতুন
নতুন
Aug 8, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
5%
26°C
9%
27°C
38%
28°C
40%
29°C
5%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
28°C 40%
27°C 38%
26°C 15%
29°C 5%
নতুন
নতুন
Aug 8, 2026
22°C or below
$27 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$32 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$24 Vol.
1%
25°C
$20 Vol.
5%
26°C
$7 Vol.
9%
27°C
$153 Vol.
38%
28°C
$439 Vol.
40%
29°C
$548 Vol.
5%
30°C
$682 Vol.
1%
31°C
$279 Vol.
1%
32°C or higher
$32 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecast models and the Hong Kong Observatory's seasonal outlook indicate normal to above-normal temperatures for early August 2026, with typical overnight lows near 26–28°C shaped by warm South China Sea waters, high humidity, and variable monsoon flow. Trader consensus favoring 27–28°C reflects expectations of moderate cloud cover or scattered showers that limit radiative cooling overnight, while lower probabilities for 26°C or below hinge on stronger northeasterly winds or clearer skies enhancing heat loss. Historical August minima average around 26–27°C, and short-term model runs show limited divergence this close to the date, though any shift in rainfall timing or wind patterns could tip the minimum by 1°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ভলিউম
$2,242শেষ তারিখ
Aug 8, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecast models and the Hong Kong Observatory's seasonal outlook indicate normal to above-normal temperatures for early August 2026, with typical overnight lows near 26–28°C shaped by warm South China Sea waters, high humidity, and variable monsoon flow. Trader consensus favoring 27–28°C reflects expectations of moderate cloud cover or scattered showers that limit radiative cooling overnight, while lower probabilities for 26°C or below hinge on stronger northeasterly winds or clearer skies enhancing heat loss. Historical August minima average around 26–27°C, and short-term model runs show limited divergence this close to the date, though any shift in rainfall timing or wind patterns could tip the minimum by 1°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ভলিউম
$2,242শেষ তারিখ
Aug 8, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models and the Hong Kong Observatory's seasonal outlook indicate normal to above-normal temperatures for early August 2026, with typical overnight lows near 26–28°C shaped by warm South China Sea waters, high humidity, and variable monsoon flow. Trader consensus favoring 27–28°C reflects expectations of moderate cloud cover or scattered showers that limit radiative cooling overnight, while lower probabilities for 26°C or below hinge on stronger northeasterly winds or clearer skies enhancing heat loss. Historical August minima average around 26–27°C, and short-term model runs show limited divergence this close to the date, though any shift in rainfall timing or wind patterns could tip the minimum by 1°C.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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