Official forecasts from MetService and international agencies project a maximum near 10°C for Wellington on August 6, driven by a southerly airstream bringing cooler maritime air after recent showers, with clearing skies and moderate winds limiting daytime warming. This aligns with seasonal norms of 12°C but reflects below-average conditions tied to current pressure patterns. Trader positioning, with 11°C at 52.5% implied probability ahead of 10°C at 38%, likely incorporates minor model spread and potential for localized warming under partial sun, while lower and higher outcomes remain marginal given tight forecast consensus and typical daily variability of 1–2°C. Updated model runs and morning observations will refine exact resolution thresholds.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Wellington on August 6?
11°C 53%
10°C 38%
12°C 9%
9°C 3%
$25,822 Vol.
$25,822 Vol.
5°C or below
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
3%
10°C
38%
11°C
53%
12°C
9%
13°C
2%
14°C
<1%
15°C or higher
<1%
11°C 53%
10°C 38%
12°C 9%
9°C 3%
$25,822 Vol.
$25,822 Vol.
5°C or below
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
3%
10°C
38%
11°C
53%
12°C
9%
13°C
2%
14°C
<1%
15°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from MetService and international agencies project a maximum near 10°C for Wellington on August 6, driven by a southerly airstream bringing cooler maritime air after recent showers, with clearing skies and moderate winds limiting daytime warming. This aligns with seasonal norms of 12°C but reflects below-average conditions tied to current pressure patterns. Trader positioning, with 11°C at 52.5% implied probability ahead of 10°C at 38%, likely incorporates minor model spread and potential for localized warming under partial sun, while lower and higher outcomes remain marginal given tight forecast consensus and typical daily variability of 1–2°C. Updated model runs and morning observations will refine exact resolution thresholds.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড


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