Latest ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS places Warsaw’s August 6 maximum near the 32–33°C threshold, with modest spread arising from differences in boundary-layer mixing, cloud timing, and the precise track of a weak Atlantic trough. Warm advection ahead of this feature supports surface temperatures several degrees above the August climatological mean of roughly 25°C, yet increasing low-level moisture and possible late-day convection introduce downside risk to the peak reading. Official Polish meteorological guidance and high-resolution regional models will narrow the range through tonight’s and tomorrow morning’s updates, directly informing the close market-implied probabilities between 32°C and 33°C.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Warsaw on August 6?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on August 6?
33°C 35%
32°C 31%
34°C 16%
31°C 14%
নতুন
নতুন
Aug 6, 2026
29°C or below
2%
30°C
3%
31°C
14%
32°C
31%
33°C
35%
34°C
16%
35°C
7%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
33°C 35%
32°C 31%
34°C 16%
31°C 14%
নতুন
নতুন
Aug 6, 2026
29°C or below
$641 Vol.
2%
30°C
$278 Vol.
3%
31°C
$964 Vol.
14%
32°C
$443 Vol.
31%
33°C
$3,203 Vol.
35%
34°C
$891 Vol.
16%
35°C
$772 Vol.
7%
36°C
$98 Vol.
1%
37°C
$279 Vol.
<1%
38°C
$179 Vol.
<1%
39°C or higher
$353 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS places Warsaw’s August 6 maximum near the 32–33°C threshold, with modest spread arising from differences in boundary-layer mixing, cloud timing, and the precise track of a weak Atlantic trough. Warm advection ahead of this feature supports surface temperatures several degrees above the August climatological mean of roughly 25°C, yet increasing low-level moisture and possible late-day convection introduce downside risk to the peak reading. Official Polish meteorological guidance and high-resolution regional models will narrow the range through tonight’s and tomorrow morning’s updates, directly informing the close market-implied probabilities between 32°C and 33°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
ভলিউম
$8,100শেষ তারিখ
Aug 6, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS places Warsaw’s August 6 maximum near the 32–33°C threshold, with modest spread arising from differences in boundary-layer mixing, cloud timing, and the precise track of a weak Atlantic trough. Warm advection ahead of this feature supports surface temperatures several degrees above the August climatological mean of roughly 25°C, yet increasing low-level moisture and possible late-day convection introduce downside risk to the peak reading. Official Polish meteorological guidance and high-resolution regional models will narrow the range through tonight’s and tomorrow morning’s updates, directly informing the close market-implied probabilities between 32°C and 33°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$8,100শেষ তারিখ
Aug 6, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS places Warsaw’s August 6 maximum near the 32–33°C threshold, with modest spread arising from differences in boundary-layer mixing, cloud timing, and the precise track of a weak Atlantic trough. Warm advection ahead of this feature supports surface temperatures several degrees above the August climatological mean of roughly 25°C, yet increasing low-level moisture and possible late-day convection introduce downside risk to the peak reading. Official Polish meteorological guidance and high-resolution regional models will narrow the range through tonight’s and tomorrow morning’s updates, directly informing the close market-implied probabilities between 32°C and 33°C.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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