Current National Weather Service-aligned forecasts for New York City show persistent humidity, cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorm activity through September 3, supporting overnight lows in the lower 70s°F as the most likely range. This pattern limits radiative cooling compared to clearer conditions, keeping minimum temperatures above the long-term average of 65°F for the date. Ensemble model spreads introduce uncertainty around exact thresholds, with variations in precipitation timing and wind potentially allowing dips toward 68–69°F or holding near 72–73°F. Trader consensus across closely matched bins around 68–73°F reflects this narrow forecast envelope, tempered by low but non-zero probabilities for stronger cooling or unseasonable warmth if steering patterns shift. Updated model runs and NHC/NOAA briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.