Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward a 5°C overnight low at Paris-Le Bourget Airport on May 15 (35.5% implied probability), driven by Météo-France's latest guidance projecting 4–7°C minima amid persistent northerly winds, cloudy skies, and light showers suppressing daytime highs to 13–16°C. This anomalously cool mid-May pattern—well below the 9–10°C climatological average—stems from a stalled low-pressure system over northern France, enhancing radiative cooling potential under partial clearing. Differentiating factors include ensemble model spreads: ECMWF leans cooler at 4°C with drier conditions overnight, while GFS holds nearer 6°C with lingering clouds; urban heat island effects may nudge urban readings higher. Watch 12z model runs today for refinements ahead of resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Paris on May 15?
Lowest temperature in Paris on May 15?
5°C 35.1%
4°C 33.1%
6°C 21%
7°C 13%
নতুন
নতুন
May 15, 2026
-2°C or below
<1%
-1°C
<1%
0°C
1%
1°C
1%
2°C
1%
3°C
3%
4°C
33%
5°C
35%
6°C
16%
7°C
16%
8°C or higher
1%
5°C 35.1%
4°C 33.1%
6°C 21%
7°C 13%
নতুন
নতুন
May 15, 2026
-2°C or below
$151 Vol.
<1%
-1°C
$217 Vol.
<1%
0°C
$54 Vol.
1%
1°C
$272 Vol.
1%
2°C
$194 Vol.
1%
3°C
$85 Vol.
3%
4°C
$87 Vol.
33%
5°C
$208 Vol.
35%
6°C
$101 Vol.
16%
7°C
$53 Vol.
16%
8°C or higher
$2,847 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward a 5°C overnight low at Paris-Le Bourget Airport on May 15 (35.5% implied probability), driven by Météo-France's latest guidance projecting 4–7°C minima amid persistent northerly winds, cloudy skies, and light showers suppressing daytime highs to 13–16°C. This anomalously cool mid-May pattern—well below the 9–10°C climatological average—stems from a stalled low-pressure system over northern France, enhancing radiative cooling potential under partial clearing. Differentiating factors include ensemble model spreads: ECMWF leans cooler at 4°C with drier conditions overnight, while GFS holds nearer 6°C with lingering clouds; urban heat island effects may nudge urban readings higher. Watch 12z model runs today for refinements ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: May 11, 2026, 7:07 PM ET
ভলিউম
$4,230শেষ তারিখ
May 15, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 11, 2026, 7:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward a 5°C overnight low at Paris-Le Bourget Airport on May 15 (35.5% implied probability), driven by Météo-France's latest guidance projecting 4–7°C minima amid persistent northerly winds, cloudy skies, and light showers suppressing daytime highs to 13–16°C. This anomalously cool mid-May pattern—well below the 9–10°C climatological average—stems from a stalled low-pressure system over northern France, enhancing radiative cooling potential under partial clearing. Differentiating factors include ensemble model spreads: ECMWF leans cooler at 4°C with drier conditions overnight, while GFS holds nearer 6°C with lingering clouds; urban heat island effects may nudge urban readings higher. Watch 12z model runs today for refinements ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ভলিউম
$4,230শেষ তারিখ
May 15, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 11, 2026, 7:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward a 5°C overnight low at Paris-Le Bourget Airport on May 15 (35.5% implied probability), driven by Météo-France's latest guidance projecting 4–7°C minima amid persistent northerly winds, cloudy skies, and light showers suppressing daytime highs to 13–16°C. This anomalously cool mid-May pattern—well below the 9–10°C climatological average—stems from a stalled low-pressure system over northern France, enhancing radiative cooling potential under partial clearing. Differentiating factors include ensemble model spreads: ECMWF leans cooler at 4°C with drier conditions overnight, while GFS holds nearer 6°C with lingering clouds; urban heat island effects may nudge urban readings higher. Watch 12z model runs today for refinements ahead of resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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