**Current forecast consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to overnight lows near 26–27°C for Shanghai on August 10, 2026, supporting the market’s leading 27°C outcome (45.5% implied probability) amid typical late-summer subtropical high-pressure patterns.** Early August conditions feature persistent heat and humidity with minimal nocturnal cooling, as urban heat-island effects and elevated dew points keep minimum temperatures elevated. Recent model runs align with climatological averages for the period (roughly 25–27°C lows), with no strong cold fronts or typhoon influences expected to alter the pattern in the next 48 hours. Traders are pricing modest uncertainty around 26°C (14%) versus 28°C (11%), reflecting potential small revisions in guidance as the event nears. Historical data show August minima rarely drop below 24°C without major weather shifts, keeping tail risks (below 25°C or 30°C+) at low single-digit probabilities. Updated model outputs over the coming day will be the key catalyst for any probability shifts.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Shanghai on August 10?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on August 10?
27°C 43%
26°C 16%
28°C 12%
29°C 9%
নতুন
নতুন
Aug 10, 2026
21°C or below
2%
22°C
5%
23°C
3%
24°C
5%
25°C
7%
26°C
16%
27°C
43%
28°C
12%
29°C
9%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
1%
27°C 43%
26°C 16%
28°C 12%
29°C 9%
নতুন
নতুন
Aug 10, 2026
21°C or below
$5 Vol.
2%
22°C
$5 Vol.
5%
23°C
$12 Vol.
3%
24°C
$0 Vol.
5%
25°C
$0 Vol.
7%
26°C
$11 Vol.
16%
27°C
$301 Vol.
43%
28°C
$0 Vol.
12%
29°C
$18 Vol.
9%
30°C
$27 Vol.
1%
31°C or higher
$27 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to overnight lows near 26–27°C for Shanghai on August 10, 2026, supporting the market’s leading 27°C outcome (45.5% implied probability) amid typical late-summer subtropical high-pressure patterns.**
Early August conditions feature persistent heat and humidity with minimal nocturnal cooling, as urban heat-island effects and elevated dew points keep minimum temperatures elevated. Recent model runs align with climatological averages for the period (roughly 25–27°C lows), with no strong cold fronts or typhoon influences expected to alter the pattern in the next 48 hours. Traders are pricing modest uncertainty around 26°C (14%) versus 28°C (11%), reflecting potential small revisions in guidance as the event nears. Historical data show August minima rarely drop below 24°C without major weather shifts, keeping tail risks (below 25°C or 30°C+) at low single-digit probabilities. Updated model outputs over the coming day will be the key catalyst for any probability shifts.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ভলিউম
$407শেষ তারিখ
Aug 10, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to overnight lows near 26–27°C for Shanghai on August 10, 2026, supporting the market’s leading 27°C outcome (45.5% implied probability) amid typical late-summer subtropical high-pressure patterns.**
Early August conditions feature persistent heat and humidity with minimal nocturnal cooling, as urban heat-island effects and elevated dew points keep minimum temperatures elevated. Recent model runs align with climatological averages for the period (roughly 25–27°C lows), with no strong cold fronts or typhoon influences expected to alter the pattern in the next 48 hours. Traders are pricing modest uncertainty around 26°C (14%) versus 28°C (11%), reflecting potential small revisions in guidance as the event nears. Historical data show August minima rarely drop below 24°C without major weather shifts, keeping tail risks (below 25°C or 30°C+) at low single-digit probabilities. Updated model outputs over the coming day will be the key catalyst for any probability shifts.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$407শেষ তারিখ
Aug 10, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecast consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to overnight lows near 26–27°C for Shanghai on August 10, 2026, supporting the market’s leading 27°C outcome (45.5% implied probability) amid typical late-summer subtropical high-pressure patterns.** Early August conditions feature persistent heat and humidity with minimal nocturnal cooling, as urban heat-island effects and elevated dew points keep minimum temperatures elevated. Recent model runs align with climatological averages for the period (roughly 25–27°C lows), with no strong cold fronts or typhoon influences expected to alter the pattern in the next 48 hours. Traders are pricing modest uncertainty around 26°C (14%) versus 28°C (11%), reflecting potential small revisions in guidance as the event nears. Historical data show August minima rarely drop below 24°C without major weather shifts, keeping tail risks (below 25°C or 30°C+) at low single-digit probabilities. Updated model outputs over the coming day will be the key catalyst for any probability shifts.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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