Forecast consensus from global and regional models points to Tel Aviv overnight lows near the long-term August average of 23–25 °C on August 22, driving the tightly bunched market probabilities across the 22–27 °C outcomes. Radiative cooling under clear or partly cloudy skies, moderated by persistent Mediterranean sea breezes and high humidity that limits nocturnal temperature drops, keeps the minimum from deviating sharply. Model spread arises mainly from small differences in boundary-layer mixing and wind forecasts rather than synoptic changes, with no incoming fronts or heat domes indicated in the latest runs. Official resolution will use the Israel Meteorological Service station reading, so traders weigh the narrow uncertainty band against historical variability of roughly ±2 °C around the climatological mean.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 22?
22°C or below 59%
27°C 31%
28°C 29%
26°C 28%
22°C or below
59%
23°C
2%
24°C
26%
25°C
26%
26°C
28%
27°C
31%
28°C
29%
29°C
5%
30°C
3%
31°C
4%
32°C or higher
25%
22°C or below 59%
27°C 31%
28°C 29%
26°C 28%
22°C or below
59%
23°C
2%
24°C
26%
25°C
26%
26°C
28%
27°C
31%
28°C
29%
29°C
5%
30°C
3%
31°C
4%
32°C or higher
25%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 20, 2026, 1:32 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from global and regional models points to Tel Aviv overnight lows near the long-term August average of 23–25 °C on August 22, driving the tightly bunched market probabilities across the 22–27 °C outcomes. Radiative cooling under clear or partly cloudy skies, moderated by persistent Mediterranean sea breezes and high humidity that limits nocturnal temperature drops, keeps the minimum from deviating sharply. Model spread arises mainly from small differences in boundary-layer mixing and wind forecasts rather than synoptic changes, with no incoming fronts or heat domes indicated in the latest runs. Official resolution will use the Israel Meteorological Service station reading, so traders weigh the narrow uncertainty band against historical variability of roughly ±2 °C around the climatological mean.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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