**Mild, humid conditions with persistent cloud cover and light rain have kept overnight cooling limited in Tokyo, driving the tight market split between 20°C and 21°C as the day's low.** Official Japan Meteorological Agency observations through early September 12 recorded a minimum near 19.8°C amid overcast skies and precipitation, while multiple real-time forecasts from sources using GFS and other models project an overnight low of 20–22°C (roughly 68–72°F) under similar conditions. High humidity (often 85–94%), light variable winds, and urban heat retention have reduced radiative cooling compared to clearer nights, preventing a sharper drop. Model consensus shows only minor differences in timing of any clearing or wind shifts that could nudge the exact minimum across the 20–21°C threshold. Resolution will hinge on final verified JMA station data for the full 24-hour period ending September 12, with traders weighting recent observational trends and short-term forecast updates most heavily.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Tokyo on September 12?
21°C 49%
19°C <1%
18°C <1%
16°C or below <1%
$6,664 Vol.
$6,664 Vol.
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
50%
21°C
49%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
21°C 49%
19°C <1%
18°C <1%
16°C or below <1%
$6,664 Vol.
$6,664 Vol.
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
50%
21°C
49%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...**Mild, humid conditions with persistent cloud cover and light rain have kept overnight cooling limited in Tokyo, driving the tight market split between 20°C and 21°C as the day's low.** Official Japan Meteorological Agency observations through early September 12 recorded a minimum near 19.8°C amid overcast skies and precipitation, while multiple real-time forecasts from sources using GFS and other models project an overnight low of 20–22°C (roughly 68–72°F) under similar conditions. High humidity (often 85–94%), light variable winds, and urban heat retention have reduced radiative cooling compared to clearer nights, preventing a sharper drop. Model consensus shows only minor differences in timing of any clearing or wind shifts that could nudge the exact minimum across the 20–21°C threshold. Resolution will hinge on final verified JMA station data for the full 24-hour period ending September 12, with traders weighting recent observational trends and short-term forecast updates most heavily.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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