Recent forecasts for Warsaw indicate overnight lows on September 3 likely falling between 11–16°C under moderate westerly flow and variable cloud cover, consistent with early-autumn climatology where average September minima hover near 9–12°C. Model consensus from sources like ECMWF and local agencies points to limited radiative cooling overnight amid partly clear skies, reducing odds of extremes while leaving room for variance from wind shifts or unexpected cloud persistence. This genuine uncertainty around the precise minimum—driven by short-term atmospheric details rather than major pattern changes—explains the closely matched market-implied odds between the 19°C-or-higher and 9°C-or-below buckets versus narrower mid-range outcomes. Updated model runs in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Warsaw on September 3?
Lowest temperature in Warsaw on September 3?
19°C or higher 91%
9°C or below 42%
12°C 30%
11°C 28%
নতুন
নতুন
Sep 3, 2026
9°C or below
42%
10°C
25%
11°C
28%
12°C
30%
13°C
26%
14°C
25%
15°C
25%
16°C
19%
17°C
10%
18°C
2%
19°C or higher
91%
19°C or higher 91%
9°C or below 42%
12°C 30%
11°C 28%
নতুন
নতুন
Sep 3, 2026
9°C or below
$0 Vol.
42%
10°C
$0 Vol.
25%
11°C
$0 Vol.
28%
12°C
$0 Vol.
30%
13°C
$0 Vol.
26%
14°C
$0 Vol.
25%
15°C
$0 Vol.
25%
16°C
$5 Vol.
19%
17°C
$5 Vol.
10%
18°C
$5 Vol.
2%
19°C or higher
$5 Vol.
91%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Warsaw indicate overnight lows on September 3 likely falling between 11–16°C under moderate westerly flow and variable cloud cover, consistent with early-autumn climatology where average September minima hover near 9–12°C. Model consensus from sources like ECMWF and local agencies points to limited radiative cooling overnight amid partly clear skies, reducing odds of extremes while leaving room for variance from wind shifts or unexpected cloud persistence. This genuine uncertainty around the precise minimum—driven by short-term atmospheric details rather than major pattern changes—explains the closely matched market-implied odds between the 19°C-or-higher and 9°C-or-below buckets versus narrower mid-range outcomes. Updated model runs in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ভলিউম
$20শেষ তারিখ
Sep 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Warsaw indicate overnight lows on September 3 likely falling between 11–16°C under moderate westerly flow and variable cloud cover, consistent with early-autumn climatology where average September minima hover near 9–12°C. Model consensus from sources like ECMWF and local agencies points to limited radiative cooling overnight amid partly clear skies, reducing odds of extremes while leaving room for variance from wind shifts or unexpected cloud persistence. This genuine uncertainty around the precise minimum—driven by short-term atmospheric details rather than major pattern changes—explains the closely matched market-implied odds between the 19°C-or-higher and 9°C-or-below buckets versus narrower mid-range outcomes. Updated model runs in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$20শেষ তারিখ
Sep 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Warsaw indicate overnight lows on September 3 likely falling between 11–16°C under moderate westerly flow and variable cloud cover, consistent with early-autumn climatology where average September minima hover near 9–12°C. Model consensus from sources like ECMWF and local agencies points to limited radiative cooling overnight amid partly clear skies, reducing odds of extremes while leaving room for variance from wind shifts or unexpected cloud persistence. This genuine uncertainty around the precise minimum—driven by short-term atmospheric details rather than major pattern changes—explains the closely matched market-implied odds between the 19°C-or-higher and 9°C-or-below buckets versus narrower mid-range outcomes. Updated model runs in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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