Mike Bouchard leads trader consensus at 64.5% implied probability in the open MI-10 Republican primary, driven by a May 13 poll showing his 39% plurality among GOP voters amid high undecideds, bolstered by strong favorability, family name recognition from his father—the Oakland County sheriff—and robust Q1 fundraising exceeding $500,000, much from prior donor networks. Challenger Robert Lulgjuraj holds 39.3% on momentum from competitive early cash hauls but faces headwinds from a May 7 ballot eligibility challenge over residency claims. Lower-tier candidates Steven Elliott (17%), Casey Armitage (6%), and Justin Kirk (4.8%) trail per limited polling and resources, with the August 4 primary looming as undecideds and any legal resolutions could shift dynamics in this suburban Detroit battleground.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডMike Bouchard 56%
Robert Lulgjuraj 14.2%
Steven Elliott 10.1%
Casey Armitage 6%
Mike Bouchard
60%
Robert Lulgjuraj
36%
Steven Elliott
13%
Casey Armitage
6%
Justin Kirk
5%
Mike Bouchard 56%
Robert Lulgjuraj 14.2%
Steven Elliott 10.1%
Casey Armitage 6%
Mike Bouchard
60%
Robert Lulgjuraj
36%
Steven Elliott
13%
Casey Armitage
6%
Justin Kirk
5%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Dec 18, 2025, 3:28 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Mike Bouchard leads trader consensus at 64.5% implied probability in the open MI-10 Republican primary, driven by a May 13 poll showing his 39% plurality among GOP voters amid high undecideds, bolstered by strong favorability, family name recognition from his father—the Oakland County sheriff—and robust Q1 fundraising exceeding $500,000, much from prior donor networks. Challenger Robert Lulgjuraj holds 39.3% on momentum from competitive early cash hauls but faces headwinds from a May 7 ballot eligibility challenge over residency claims. Lower-tier candidates Steven Elliott (17%), Casey Armitage (6%), and Justin Kirk (4.8%) trail per limited polling and resources, with the August 4 primary looming as undecideds and any legal resolutions could shift dynamics in this suburban Detroit battleground.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা