State Rep. Manny Rutinel's trader-implied 72% probability as CO-08 Democratic primary winner stems from rival former state Rep. Shannon Bird's withdrawal on May 12, which canceled a planned debate after Rutinel prioritized a Washington, D.C., fundraiser. This recent exit has winnowed the June 30 primary field—previously a close two-way contest per recent polls and Cook Political Report analysis—consolidating support behind Rutinel amid low odds for former Rep. Yadira Caraveo and others like Evan Munsing. Bird retains 25% as traders assess potential endorsement paths or ballot status, while upcoming early voting and final endorsements could influence the toss-up general against GOP incumbent Gabe Evans.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডManny Rutinel 72%
Shannon Bird 22%
Yadira Caraveo <1%
Dave Young <1%
$20,867 Vol.
$20,867 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
Manny Rutinel
72%
Shannon Bird
26%
Yadira Caraveo
1%
Dave Young
<1%
John Szemler
<1%
Amie Baca-Oehlert
<1%
Manny Rutinel 72%
Shannon Bird 22%
Yadira Caraveo <1%
Dave Young <1%
$20,867 Vol.
$20,867 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
Manny Rutinel
$12,896 Vol.
72%
Shannon Bird
$2,688 Vol.
26%
Yadira Caraveo
$1,039 Vol.
1%
Dave Young
$1,663 Vol.
<1%
John Szemler
$1,237 Vol.
<1%
Amie Baca-Oehlert
$1,345 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 30, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.State Rep. Manny Rutinel's trader-implied 72% probability as CO-08 Democratic primary winner stems from rival former state Rep. Shannon Bird's withdrawal on May 12, which canceled a planned debate after Rutinel prioritized a Washington, D.C., fundraiser. This recent exit has winnowed the June 30 primary field—previously a close two-way contest per recent polls and Cook Political Report analysis—consolidating support behind Rutinel amid low odds for former Rep. Yadira Caraveo and others like Evan Munsing. Bird retains 25% as traders assess potential endorsement paths or ballot status, while upcoming early voting and final endorsements could influence the toss-up general against GOP incumbent Gabe Evans.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 30, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Nov 25, 2025, 4:12 PM ET
ভলিউম
$20,867শেষ তারিখ
Jun 30, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Nov 25, 2025, 4:12 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 30, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.State Rep. Manny Rutinel's trader-implied 72% probability as CO-08 Democratic primary winner stems from rival former state Rep. Shannon Bird's withdrawal on May 12, which canceled a planned debate after Rutinel prioritized a Washington, D.C., fundraiser. This recent exit has winnowed the June 30 primary field—previously a close two-way contest per recent polls and Cook Political Report analysis—consolidating support behind Rutinel amid low odds for former Rep. Yadira Caraveo and others like Evan Munsing. Bird retains 25% as traders assess potential endorsement paths or ballot status, while upcoming early voting and final endorsements could influence the toss-up general against GOP incumbent Gabe Evans.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 30, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
ভলিউম
$20,867শেষ তারিখ
Jun 30, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Nov 25, 2025, 4:12 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...State Rep. Manny Rutinel's trader-implied 72% probability as CO-08 Democratic primary winner stems from rival former state Rep. Shannon Bird's withdrawal on May 12, which canceled a planned debate after Rutinel prioritized a Washington, D.C., fundraiser. This recent exit has winnowed the June 30 primary field—previously a close two-way contest per recent polls and Cook Political Report analysis—consolidating support behind Rutinel amid low odds for former Rep. Yadira Caraveo and others like Evan Munsing. Bird retains 25% as traders assess potential endorsement paths or ballot status, while upcoming early voting and final endorsements could influence the toss-up general against GOP incumbent Gabe Evans.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
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বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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