The open seat in Montana's 1st Congressional District, created by Republican incumbent Ryan Zinke's retirement, has shaped the current market positioning. Aaron Flint secured the Republican nomination in the June 2 primary as the party's designated successor, while Sam Forstag won the Democratic primary. The district carries a modest Republican lean consistent with historical voting patterns and partisan voting index metrics. Recent polls show the nominees running close, though forecasters rate the contest as likely Republican. These factors have produced trader consensus reflected in the 59.5% Republican and 41% Democratic probabilities, with the race remaining sensitive to turnout, national midterm dynamics, and any late developments before the November 3 general election.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডMT-01 House Election Winner
MT-01 House Election Winner
নতুন
নতুন
Nov 4, 2026
Republican Party
60%
Democratic Party
41%
নতুন
নতুন
Nov 4, 2026
Republican Party
$3,602 Vol.
60%
Democratic Party
$2,146 Vol.
41%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat in Montana's 1st Congressional District, created by Republican incumbent Ryan Zinke's retirement, has shaped the current market positioning. Aaron Flint secured the Republican nomination in the June 2 primary as the party's designated successor, while Sam Forstag won the Democratic primary. The district carries a modest Republican lean consistent with historical voting patterns and partisan voting index metrics. Recent polls show the nominees running close, though forecasters rate the contest as likely Republican. These factors have produced trader consensus reflected in the 59.5% Republican and 41% Democratic probabilities, with the race remaining sensitive to turnout, national midterm dynamics, and any late developments before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Dec 16, 2025, 12:19 PM ET
ভলিউম
$5,748শেষ তারিখ
Nov 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Dec 16, 2025, 12:19 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat in Montana's 1st Congressional District, created by Republican incumbent Ryan Zinke's retirement, has shaped the current market positioning. Aaron Flint secured the Republican nomination in the June 2 primary as the party's designated successor, while Sam Forstag won the Democratic primary. The district carries a modest Republican lean consistent with historical voting patterns and partisan voting index metrics. Recent polls show the nominees running close, though forecasters rate the contest as likely Republican. These factors have produced trader consensus reflected in the 59.5% Republican and 41% Democratic probabilities, with the race remaining sensitive to turnout, national midterm dynamics, and any late developments before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ভলিউম
$5,748শেষ তারিখ
Nov 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Dec 16, 2025, 12:19 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open seat in Montana's 1st Congressional District, created by Republican incumbent Ryan Zinke's retirement, has shaped the current market positioning. Aaron Flint secured the Republican nomination in the June 2 primary as the party's designated successor, while Sam Forstag won the Democratic primary. The district carries a modest Republican lean consistent with historical voting patterns and partisan voting index metrics. Recent polls show the nominees running close, though forecasters rate the contest as likely Republican. These factors have produced trader consensus reflected in the 59.5% Republican and 41% Democratic probabilities, with the race remaining sensitive to turnout, national midterm dynamics, and any late developments before the November 3 general election.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
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