Ryan Zinke's retirement announcement in early March opened Montana's 1st Congressional District as a true toss-up, erasing the incumbent advantage in this R+5 battleground blending liberal enclaves in Bozeman and Missoula with rural Republican strongholds. An Upswing poll from late April to early May showed GOP frontrunner Aaron Flint edging Democratic hopefuls Matt Rains (47-44% informed) and Sam Forstag (50-43%), yet traders imply a slight Democratic edge at 47.5% amid stronger recruiting like Ryan Busse. Crowded June 2 primaries loom as the key catalyst, with nominee strength, fundraising, and midterm turnout dynamics poised to tip the balance in the November general.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডMT-01 House Election Winner
MT-01 House Election Winner
নতুন
নতুন
Nov 4, 2026
Republican Party
53%
Democratic Party
52%
নতুন
নতুন
Nov 4, 2026
Republican Party
$1,011 Vol.
53%
Democratic Party
$392 Vol.
52%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Ryan Zinke's retirement announcement in early March opened Montana's 1st Congressional District as a true toss-up, erasing the incumbent advantage in this R+5 battleground blending liberal enclaves in Bozeman and Missoula with rural Republican strongholds. An Upswing poll from late April to early May showed GOP frontrunner Aaron Flint edging Democratic hopefuls Matt Rains (47-44% informed) and Sam Forstag (50-43%), yet traders imply a slight Democratic edge at 47.5% amid stronger recruiting like Ryan Busse. Crowded June 2 primaries loom as the key catalyst, with nominee strength, fundraising, and midterm turnout dynamics poised to tip the balance in the November general.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Dec 16, 2025, 12:19 PM ET
ভলিউম
$1,402শেষ তারিখ
Nov 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Dec 16, 2025, 12:19 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Ryan Zinke's retirement announcement in early March opened Montana's 1st Congressional District as a true toss-up, erasing the incumbent advantage in this R+5 battleground blending liberal enclaves in Bozeman and Missoula with rural Republican strongholds. An Upswing poll from late April to early May showed GOP frontrunner Aaron Flint edging Democratic hopefuls Matt Rains (47-44% informed) and Sam Forstag (50-43%), yet traders imply a slight Democratic edge at 47.5% amid stronger recruiting like Ryan Busse. Crowded June 2 primaries loom as the key catalyst, with nominee strength, fundraising, and midterm turnout dynamics poised to tip the balance in the November general.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ভলিউম
$1,402শেষ তারিখ
Nov 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Dec 16, 2025, 12:19 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Ryan Zinke's retirement announcement in early March opened Montana's 1st Congressional District as a true toss-up, erasing the incumbent advantage in this R+5 battleground blending liberal enclaves in Bozeman and Missoula with rural Republican strongholds. An Upswing poll from late April to early May showed GOP frontrunner Aaron Flint edging Democratic hopefuls Matt Rains (47-44% informed) and Sam Forstag (50-43%), yet traders imply a slight Democratic edge at 47.5% amid stronger recruiting like Ryan Busse. Crowded June 2 primaries loom as the key catalyst, with nominee strength, fundraising, and midterm turnout dynamics poised to tip the balance in the November general.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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