Incumbent Lindsey Graham secured the Republican nomination in South Carolina's June 9 primary with approximately 57 percent of the vote against challenger Mark Lynch at roughly 29 percent, producing a first-round margin near the boundary between the 20–30 percent and 30–40 percent buckets that currently trade near 41 percent each. Pre-election polling averages had shown Graham between 46 percent and 52 percent, with Lynch in the low-to-mid 20s to mid-30s, leaving traders uncertain whether final certified results would land above or below 30 points once all ballots are tallied. The 50 percent price on "Other" reflects residual ambiguity around exact vote shares from smaller candidates and any late-count adjustments, while Lynch's sub-2 percent odds align with his consistent double-digit deficit in recent surveys. No runoff was triggered, consistent with Graham's comfortable majority.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডSouth Carolina Senate Republican Primary: First Round Margin of Victory
South Carolina Senate Republican Primary: First Round Margin of Victory
Graham 10–20% 6%
Graham 40–50% 5%
Graham <10% 1.6%
Lynch Wins 1.1%
$6,964 Vol.
$6,964 Vol.
Jun 9, 2026
Graham 50%+
<1%
Graham 40–50%
5%
Graham 30–40%
41%
Graham 20–30%
42%
Graham 10–20%
6%
Graham <10%
2%
Lynch Wins
1%
Graham 10–20% 6%
Graham 40–50% 5%
Graham <10% 1.6%
Lynch Wins 1.1%
$6,964 Vol.
$6,964 Vol.
Jun 9, 2026
Graham 50%+
$1,361 Vol.
<1%
Graham 40–50%
$1,492 Vol.
5%
Graham 30–40%
$216 Vol.
41%
Graham 20–30%
$672 Vol.
42%
Graham 10–20%
$942 Vol.
6%
Graham <10%
$1,719 Vol.
2%
Lynch Wins
$562 Vol.
1%
Primary elections in South Carolina are scheduled to be held on June 9, 2026, with a runoff election scheduled to be held on June 23, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the South Carolina Senate Republican Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Incumbent Lindsey Graham secured the Republican nomination in South Carolina's June 9 primary with approximately 57 percent of the vote against challenger Mark Lynch at roughly 29 percent, producing a first-round margin near the boundary between the 20–30 percent and 30–40 percent buckets that currently trade near 41 percent each. Pre-election polling averages had shown Graham between 46 percent and 52 percent, with Lynch in the low-to-mid 20s to mid-30s, leaving traders uncertain whether final certified results would land above or below 30 points once all ballots are tallied. The 50 percent price on "Other" reflects residual ambiguity around exact vote shares from smaller candidates and any late-count adjustments, while Lynch's sub-2 percent odds align with his consistent double-digit deficit in recent surveys. No runoff was triggered, consistent with Graham's comfortable majority.
Primary elections in South Carolina are scheduled to be held on June 9, 2026, with a runoff election scheduled to be held on June 23, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the South Carolina Senate Republican Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the South Carolina Senate Republican Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jun 8, 2026, 3:00 PM ET
ভলিউম
$6,964শেষ তারিখ
Jun 9, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jun 8, 2026, 3:00 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Primary elections in South Carolina are scheduled to be held on June 9, 2026, with a runoff election scheduled to be held on June 23, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the South Carolina Senate Republican Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Incumbent Lindsey Graham secured the Republican nomination in South Carolina's June 9 primary with approximately 57 percent of the vote against challenger Mark Lynch at roughly 29 percent, producing a first-round margin near the boundary between the 20–30 percent and 30–40 percent buckets that currently trade near 41 percent each. Pre-election polling averages had shown Graham between 46 percent and 52 percent, with Lynch in the low-to-mid 20s to mid-30s, leaving traders uncertain whether final certified results would land above or below 30 points once all ballots are tallied. The 50 percent price on "Other" reflects residual ambiguity around exact vote shares from smaller candidates and any late-count adjustments, while Lynch's sub-2 percent odds align with his consistent double-digit deficit in recent surveys. No runoff was triggered, consistent with Graham's comfortable majority.
Primary elections in South Carolina are scheduled to be held on June 9, 2026, with a runoff election scheduled to be held on June 23, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the South Carolina Senate Republican Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the South Carolina Senate Republican Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
ভলিউম
$6,964শেষ তারিখ
Jun 9, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jun 8, 2026, 3:00 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Lindsey Graham secured the Republican nomination in South Carolina's June 9 primary with approximately 57 percent of the vote against challenger Mark Lynch at roughly 29 percent, producing a first-round margin near the boundary between the 20–30 percent and 30–40 percent buckets that currently trade near 41 percent each. Pre-election polling averages had shown Graham between 46 percent and 52 percent, with Lynch in the low-to-mid 20s to mid-30s, leaving traders uncertain whether final certified results would land above or below 30 points once all ballots are tallied. The 50 percent price on "Other" reflects residual ambiguity around exact vote shares from smaller candidates and any late-count adjustments, while Lynch's sub-2 percent odds align with his consistent double-digit deficit in recent surveys. No runoff was triggered, consistent with Graham's comfortable majority.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
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