$38,588 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
July 31
39%
August 31
71%
Super Heavy booster explodes?
76%
Successful splash down?
77%
Chopsticks catch Super Heavy booster?
6%
$38,588 Vol.
July 31
$11,914 Vol.
39%
August 31
$2,471 Vol.
71%
Super Heavy booster explodes?
$15,923 Vol.
76%
Successful splash down?
$716 Vol.
77%
Chopsticks catch Super Heavy booster?
$1,029 Vol.
6%
If the 13th SpaceX Starship successfully launches from its launch pad by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Starship with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.If the 13th SpaceX Starship successfully launches from its launch pad by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Starship with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the booster for the 13th Starship-SuperHeavy test explodes at any point during the test from the start of fueling operations to 60 minutes after it makes contact with Earth upon landing. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An explosion is defined as a violent and catastrophic event resulting in the destruction of all or part of the vehicle, regardless of intent or context (e.g., a planned termination event would also count).
If the 13th launch has not occurred by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Note: The sixth Starship-SuperHeavy test flight which exploded after executing controlled splashdown in the Gulf of Mexico would qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Starship upper stage for the 13th Starship-SuperHeavy test flight achieves a controlled splashdown in the ocean. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market pertains to the 13th Starship launch. If the rocket lifts off the pad, it will be considered the 13th Starship launch, and this market will resolve based on it. If the rocket does not lift off the pad, it will not be considered the 13th launch, and this market will stay open until the 13th launch has occurred. If the 13th launch has not occurred by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
A splashdown will be considered controlled if the Starship upper stage successfully re-enters Earth's atmosphere, remains intact during descent, and enters the water without breaking apart or exploding upon impact.
The resolution source for this market will be official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the booster for the 13th Starship-SuperHeavy test is successfully caught by the chopsticks on the Orbital Launch Tower during its landing attempt. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A successful catch is defined as the chopsticks capturing and supporting the booster without it falling to the ground or causing catastrophic damage during the landing process.
This market pertains to the 13th Starship launch. If the rocket lifts off the pad, it will be considered the 13th Starship launch, and this market will resolve based on it. If the rocket does not lift off the pad, it will not be considered the 13th launch, and this market will stay open until the 13th launch has occurred. If the 13th launch has not occurred by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.If the 13th SpaceX Starship successfully launches from its launch pad by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Starship with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Starship upper stage for the 13th Starship-SuperHeavy test flight achieves a controlled splashdown in the ocean. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market pertains to the 13th Starship launch. If the rocket lifts off the pad, it will be considered the 13th Starship launch, and this market will resolve based on it. If the rocket does not lift off the pad, it will not be considered the 13th launch, and this market will stay open until the 13th launch has occurred. If the 13th launch has not occurred by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
A splashdown will be considered controlled if the Starship upper stage successfully re-enters Earth's atmosphere, remains intact during descent, and enters the water without breaking apart or exploding upon impact.
The resolution source for this market will be official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
This market pertains to the 13th Starship launch. If the rocket lifts off the pad, it will be considered the 13th Starship launch, and this market will resolve based on it. If the rocket does not lift off the pad, it will not be considered the 13th launch, and this market will stay open until the 13th launch has occurred. If the 13th launch has not occurred by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
A splashdown will be considered controlled if the Starship upper stage successfully re-enters Earth's atmosphere, remains intact during descent, and enters the water without breaking apart or exploding upon impact.
The resolution source for this market will be official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jun 10, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
ভলিউম
$38,588মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jun 10, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...If the 13th SpaceX Starship successfully launches from its launch pad by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Starship with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.If the 13th SpaceX Starship successfully launches from its launch pad by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Starship with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the booster for the 13th Starship-SuperHeavy test explodes at any point during the test from the start of fueling operations to 60 minutes after it makes contact with Earth upon landing. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An explosion is defined as a violent and catastrophic event resulting in the destruction of all or part of the vehicle, regardless of intent or context (e.g., a planned termination event would also count).
If the 13th launch has not occurred by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Note: The sixth Starship-SuperHeavy test flight which exploded after executing controlled splashdown in the Gulf of Mexico would qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Starship upper stage for the 13th Starship-SuperHeavy test flight achieves a controlled splashdown in the ocean. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market pertains to the 13th Starship launch. If the rocket lifts off the pad, it will be considered the 13th Starship launch, and this market will resolve based on it. If the rocket does not lift off the pad, it will not be considered the 13th launch, and this market will stay open until the 13th launch has occurred. If the 13th launch has not occurred by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
A splashdown will be considered controlled if the Starship upper stage successfully re-enters Earth's atmosphere, remains intact during descent, and enters the water without breaking apart or exploding upon impact.
The resolution source for this market will be official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the booster for the 13th Starship-SuperHeavy test is successfully caught by the chopsticks on the Orbital Launch Tower during its landing attempt. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A successful catch is defined as the chopsticks capturing and supporting the booster without it falling to the ground or causing catastrophic damage during the landing process.
This market pertains to the 13th Starship launch. If the rocket lifts off the pad, it will be considered the 13th Starship launch, and this market will resolve based on it. If the rocket does not lift off the pad, it will not be considered the 13th launch, and this market will stay open until the 13th launch has occurred. If the 13th launch has not occurred by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.If the 13th SpaceX Starship successfully launches from its launch pad by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Starship with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Starship upper stage for the 13th Starship-SuperHeavy test flight achieves a controlled splashdown in the ocean. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market pertains to the 13th Starship launch. If the rocket lifts off the pad, it will be considered the 13th Starship launch, and this market will resolve based on it. If the rocket does not lift off the pad, it will not be considered the 13th launch, and this market will stay open until the 13th launch has occurred. If the 13th launch has not occurred by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
A splashdown will be considered controlled if the Starship upper stage successfully re-enters Earth's atmosphere, remains intact during descent, and enters the water without breaking apart or exploding upon impact.
The resolution source for this market will be official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
This market pertains to the 13th Starship launch. If the rocket lifts off the pad, it will be considered the 13th Starship launch, and this market will resolve based on it. If the rocket does not lift off the pad, it will not be considered the 13th launch, and this market will stay open until the 13th launch has occurred. If the 13th launch has not occurred by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
A splashdown will be considered controlled if the Starship upper stage successfully re-enters Earth's atmosphere, remains intact during descent, and enters the water without breaking apart or exploding upon impact.
The resolution source for this market will be official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
ভলিউম
$38,588মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jun 10, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা