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icon for US government bans an open source AI model in 2026?

US government bans an open source AI model in 2026?

icon for US government bans an open source AI model in 2026?

US government bans an open source AI model in 2026?

33% সম্ভাবনা
Polymarket
নতুন
33% সম্ভাবনা
Polymarket
নতুন
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the US federal government passes legislation, issues an executive order, issues an export control, or takes any other formal action with the intent to ban distribution to, access for, or use of an open source AI model by the general public within the US, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market resolves "No". “Open source AI model" refers to a general-purpose large language or multimodal foundation model whose weights and source are publicly downloadable and usable on user-controlled hardware (e.g., Llama, Mistral, DeepSeek, Qwen). "Source available" AI models will qualify regardless of any licensing restrictions on acceptable use. Narrow or special-purpose models (e.g., embedding, moderation, or single-modality media generation models) and deprecated, research-only, or preview-only models will not qualify. To qualify, a ban must target ordinary public access to the model across ordinary public channels within the US. A ban with the intention to remove access from a single channel is not sufficient. A qualifying ban may target a specific model or a slate of models, so long as at least one open source model is restricted. A qualifying ban enacted or issued by the resolution date will qualify regardless of if or when it takes effect. Both temporary bans, including those with a defined end date, and indefinite bans will qualify. Non-binding or preliminary actions, including non-binding resolutions, recommendations, proposed or pending legislation, investigations, and hearings, will not qualify on their own. The resolution source for this market is official information and announcements from the United States government and the maintainer or developer of the relevant open source AI model. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the US federal government passes legislation, issues an executive order, issues an export control, or takes any other formal action with the intent to ban distribution to, access for, or use of an open source AI model by the general public within the US, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market resolves "No".

“Open source AI model" refers to a general-purpose large language or multimodal foundation model whose weights and source are publicly downloadable and usable on user-controlled hardware (e.g., Llama, Mistral, DeepSeek, Qwen). "Source available" AI models will qualify regardless of any licensing restrictions on acceptable use. Narrow or special-purpose models (e.g., embedding, moderation, or single-modality media generation models) and deprecated, research-only, or preview-only models will not qualify.

To qualify, a ban must target ordinary public access to the model across ordinary public channels within the US. A ban with the intention to remove access from a single channel is not sufficient.

A qualifying ban may target a specific model or a slate of models, so long as at least one open source model is restricted.

A qualifying ban enacted or issued by the resolution date will qualify regardless of if or when it takes effect.

Both temporary bans, including those with a defined end date, and indefinite bans will qualify.

Non-binding or preliminary actions, including non-binding resolutions, recommendations, proposed or pending legislation, investigations, and hearings, will not qualify on their own.

The resolution source for this market is official information and announcements from the United States government and the maintainer or developer of the relevant open source AI model. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ভলিউম
$0
শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jul 13, 2026, 10:13 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the US federal government passes legislation, issues an executive order, issues an export control, or takes any other formal action with the intent to ban distribution to, access for, or use of an open source AI model by the general public within the US, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market resolves "No". “Open source AI model" refers to a general-purpose large language or multimodal foundation model whose weights and source are publicly downloadable and usable on user-controlled hardware (e.g., Llama, Mistral, DeepSeek, Qwen). "Source available" AI models will qualify regardless of any licensing restrictions on acceptable use. Narrow or special-purpose models (e.g., embedding, moderation, or single-modality media generation models) and deprecated, research-only, or preview-only models will not qualify. To qualify, a ban must target ordinary public access to the model across ordinary public channels within the US. A ban with the intention to remove access from a single channel is not sufficient. A qualifying ban may target a specific model or a slate of models, so long as at least one open source model is restricted. A qualifying ban enacted or issued by the resolution date will qualify regardless of if or when it takes effect. Both temporary bans, including those with a defined end date, and indefinite bans will qualify. Non-binding or preliminary actions, including non-binding resolutions, recommendations, proposed or pending legislation, investigations, and hearings, will not qualify on their own. The resolution source for this market is official information and announcements from the United States government and the maintainer or developer of the relevant open source AI model. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the US federal government passes legislation, issues an executive order, issues an export control, or takes any other formal action with the intent to ban distribution to, access for, or use of an open source AI model by the general public within the US, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market resolves "No". “Open source AI model" refers to a general-purpose large language or multimodal foundation model whose weights and source are publicly downloadable and usable on user-controlled hardware (e.g., Llama, Mistral, DeepSeek, Qwen). "Source available" AI models will qualify regardless of any licensing restrictions on acceptable use. Narrow or special-purpose models (e.g., embedding, moderation, or single-modality media generation models) and deprecated, research-only, or preview-only models will not qualify. To qualify, a ban must target ordinary public access to the model across ordinary public channels within the US. A ban with the intention to remove access from a single channel is not sufficient. A qualifying ban may target a specific model or a slate of models, so long as at least one open source model is restricted. A qualifying ban enacted or issued by the resolution date will qualify regardless of if or when it takes effect. Both temporary bans, including those with a defined end date, and indefinite bans will qualify. Non-binding or preliminary actions, including non-binding resolutions, recommendations, proposed or pending legislation, investigations, and hearings, will not qualify on their own. The resolution source for this market is official information and announcements from the United States government and the maintainer or developer of the relevant open source AI model. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the US federal government passes legislation, issues an executive order, issues an export control, or takes any other formal action with the intent to ban distribution to, access for, or use of an open source AI model by the general public within the US, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market resolves "No".

“Open source AI model" refers to a general-purpose large language or multimodal foundation model whose weights and source are publicly downloadable and usable on user-controlled hardware (e.g., Llama, Mistral, DeepSeek, Qwen). "Source available" AI models will qualify regardless of any licensing restrictions on acceptable use. Narrow or special-purpose models (e.g., embedding, moderation, or single-modality media generation models) and deprecated, research-only, or preview-only models will not qualify.

To qualify, a ban must target ordinary public access to the model across ordinary public channels within the US. A ban with the intention to remove access from a single channel is not sufficient.

A qualifying ban may target a specific model or a slate of models, so long as at least one open source model is restricted.

A qualifying ban enacted or issued by the resolution date will qualify regardless of if or when it takes effect.

Both temporary bans, including those with a defined end date, and indefinite bans will qualify.

Non-binding or preliminary actions, including non-binding resolutions, recommendations, proposed or pending legislation, investigations, and hearings, will not qualify on their own.

The resolution source for this market is official information and announcements from the United States government and the maintainer or developer of the relevant open source AI model. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ভলিউম
$0
শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jul 13, 2026, 10:13 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the US federal government passes legislation, issues an executive order, issues an export control, or takes any other formal action with the intent to ban distribution to, access for, or use of an open source AI model by the general public within the US, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market resolves "No". “Open source AI model" refers to a general-purpose large language or multimodal foundation model whose weights and source are publicly downloadable and usable on user-controlled hardware (e.g., Llama, Mistral, DeepSeek, Qwen). "Source available" AI models will qualify regardless of any licensing restrictions on acceptable use. Narrow or special-purpose models (e.g., embedding, moderation, or single-modality media generation models) and deprecated, research-only, or preview-only models will not qualify. To qualify, a ban must target ordinary public access to the model across ordinary public channels within the US. A ban with the intention to remove access from a single channel is not sufficient. A qualifying ban may target a specific model or a slate of models, so long as at least one open source model is restricted. A qualifying ban enacted or issued by the resolution date will qualify regardless of if or when it takes effect. Both temporary bans, including those with a defined end date, and indefinite bans will qualify. Non-binding or preliminary actions, including non-binding resolutions, recommendations, proposed or pending legislation, investigations, and hearings, will not qualify on their own. The resolution source for this market is official information and announcements from the United States government and the maintainer or developer of the relevant open source AI model. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।

সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা

"US government bans an open source AI model in 2026?" হলো Polymarket-এ একটি প্রেডিকশন মার্কেট যেখানে ট্রেডাররা এই ইভেন্টটি ঘটবে কিনা তার ভিত্তিতে "Yes" বা "No" শেয়ার কেনাবেচা করে। বর্তমান ক্রাউড-সোর্সড সম্ভাবনা "Yes"-এর জন্য 33%। যেমন, "Yes" 33¢-এ মূল্যায়িত হলে, মার্কেট সম্মিলিতভাবে এই ইভেন্টটি ঘটার 33% সম্ভাবনা নির্ধারণ করে। ট্রেডাররা নতুন ডেভেলপমেন্ট ও তথ্যে প্রতিক্রিয়া জানালে এই অডস ক্রমাগত পরিবর্তিত হয়। মার্কেট রেজোলিউশনে সঠিক ফলাফলের শেয়ার প্রতিটি $1-এ রিডিমযোগ্য।

"US government bans an open source AI model in 2026?" Polymarket-এ একটি নতুন তৈরি মার্কেট, Jul 13, 2026-এ লঞ্চ হয়েছে। একটি নতুন মার্কেট হিসেবে, এটি প্রথম ট্রেডারদের মধ্যে একজন হয়ে অডস সেট করার ও মার্কেটের প্রাথমিক মূল্য সংকেত প্রতিষ্ঠা করার সুযোগ। সময়ের সাথে মার্কেট গতি পেলে ভলিউম ও ট্রেডিং অ্যাক্টিভিটি ট্র্যাক করতে এই পেজ বুকমার্ক করতে পারেন।

"US government bans an open source AI model in 2026?"-এ ট্রেড করতে, শুধু বেছে নিন আপনি বিশ্বাস করেন উত্তর "Yes" নাকি "No"। প্রতিটি সাইডের একটি বর্তমান দাম আছে যা মার্কেটের ইম্প্লায়েড প্রবাবিলিটি প্রতিফলিত করে। আপনার পরিমাণ লিখুন এবং "Trade" ক্লিক করুন। যদি আপনি "Yes" শেয়ার কেনেন এবং ফলাফল "Yes" হিসেবে রেজলভ হয়, প্রতিটি শেয়ার $1 দেয়। "No" হলে, আপনার "Yes" শেয়ার $0 দেয়। রেজোলিউশনের আগে যেকোনো সময় শেয়ার বিক্রিও করতে পারেন।

"US government bans an open source AI model in 2026?"-এর বর্তমান সম্ভাবনা "Yes"-এর জন্য 33%। মানে Polymarket ক্রাউড বর্তমানে এই ইভেন্টটি ঘটার 33% সম্ভাবনা বিশ্বাস করে। এই অডস প্রকৃত ট্রেডের ভিত্তিতে রিয়েল-টাইমে আপডেট হয়।

"US government bans an open source AI model in 2026?"-এর রেজোলিউশন নিয়ম সঠিকভাবে সংজ্ঞায়িত করে প্রতিটি ফলাফলকে বিজয়ী ঘোষণা করতে কী ঘটতে হবে — ফলাফল নির্ধারণে ব্যবহৃত অফিসিয়াল ডেটা সোর্স সহ। আপনি এই পেজের মন্তব্যের উপরে "Rules" সেকশনে সম্পূর্ণ রেজোলিউশন মানদণ্ড রিভিউ করতে পারেন।