OpenAI’s rapid revenue expansion to a roughly $24 billion annualized run rate, driven by ChatGPT subscriptions and enterprise API demand, underpins trader consensus for an IPO closing market cap above $1 trillion. Confidential S-1 filing in June 2026 and the March 2026 private round at $852 billion post-money have reinforced expectations of a debut near or above $1 trillion, with Sam Altman reportedly treating lower marks as non-starters. Market-implied odds reflect sustained AI sector momentum and institutional capital inflows despite ongoing losses and high cash burn. Timing uncertainty, including a reported shift toward a potential 2027 listing, keeps the no-IPO-by-end-2027 probability low at 9.5 percent while supporting elevated valuation buckets.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডOpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
1.5T+ 37.8%
1.25T–1.5T 24%
1T–1.25T 20.8%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 10%
$90,303 Vol.
$90,303 Vol.
<500B
1%
500–750B
3%
750B–1T
8%
1T–1.25T
21%
1.25T–1.5T
24%
1.5T+
38%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
10%
1.5T+ 37.8%
1.25T–1.5T 24%
1T–1.25T 20.8%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 10%
$90,303 Vol.
$90,303 Vol.
<500B
1%
500–750B
3%
750B–1T
8%
1T–1.25T
21%
1.25T–1.5T
24%
1.5T+
38%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
10%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Feb 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...OpenAI’s rapid revenue expansion to a roughly $24 billion annualized run rate, driven by ChatGPT subscriptions and enterprise API demand, underpins trader consensus for an IPO closing market cap above $1 trillion. Confidential S-1 filing in June 2026 and the March 2026 private round at $852 billion post-money have reinforced expectations of a debut near or above $1 trillion, with Sam Altman reportedly treating lower marks as non-starters. Market-implied odds reflect sustained AI sector momentum and institutional capital inflows despite ongoing losses and high cash burn. Timing uncertainty, including a reported shift toward a potential 2027 listing, keeps the no-IPO-by-end-2027 probability low at 9.5 percent while supporting elevated valuation buckets.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড


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