OpenAI’s confidential IPO filing in June 2026 and its March private valuation of $852 billion underpin the market’s 43% implied probability on a $1.5 trillion-plus closing market cap. Traders are pricing in sustained revenue momentum—now at a $2 billion monthly run rate with enterprise contributing over 40%—and sector multiples that could support a $1 trillion or higher debut, despite persistent losses and cash burn projected through 2029–2030. Recent signals of a possible 2027 listing rather than late-2026 timing have tempered near-term odds but keep the no-IPO-by-end-2027 outcome at just 9.2%, reflecting broad consensus that an eventual public debut remains highly likely.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডOpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
1.5T+ 42.4%
1.25T–1.5T 22%
1T–1.25T 18.1%
750B–1T 10%
$103,899 Vol.
$103,899 Vol.
<500B
1%
500–750B
2%
750B–1T
10%
1T–1.25T
18%
1.25T–1.5T
22%
1.5T+
42%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
9%
1.5T+ 42.4%
1.25T–1.5T 22%
1T–1.25T 18.1%
750B–1T 10%
$103,899 Vol.
$103,899 Vol.
<500B
1%
500–750B
2%
750B–1T
10%
1T–1.25T
18%
1.25T–1.5T
22%
1.5T+
42%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
9%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Feb 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...OpenAI’s confidential IPO filing in June 2026 and its March private valuation of $852 billion underpin the market’s 43% implied probability on a $1.5 trillion-plus closing market cap. Traders are pricing in sustained revenue momentum—now at a $2 billion monthly run rate with enterprise contributing over 40%—and sector multiples that could support a $1 trillion or higher debut, despite persistent losses and cash burn projected through 2029–2030. Recent signals of a possible 2027 listing rather than late-2026 timing have tempered near-term odds but keep the no-IPO-by-end-2027 outcome at just 9.2%, reflecting broad consensus that an eventual public debut remains highly likely.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড


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