OpenAI CEO Sam Altman’s September 12, 2026 statements ruling out a 2026 IPO, citing the need to prioritize AI safety and alignment work ahead of any listing, have become the dominant driver of trader positioning. With the company having confidentially filed in June yet facing projected 2026 GAAP losses near $62 billion alongside rapid ARR growth, market-implied odds cluster around $1.5–2.0 trillion outcomes. These levels embed expectations for substantial compute-driven revenue expansion tempered by competitive intensity from Anthropic and others, plus the challenge of securing a $1 trillion-plus public valuation in a higher-scrutiny environment. Key upcoming catalysts include any industry safety coordination announcements and further clarity on 2027 timing.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডWhat will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
$1.75T–$2.0T 22%
$1.5T–$1.75T 18.8%
$2.5T+ 16.2%
$1.25T–$1.5T 15.3%
$131,646 Vol.
$131,646 Vol.
<$1T
6%
$1.0T–$1.25T
10%
$1.25T–$1.5T
15%
$1.5T–$1.75T
19%
$1.75T–$2.0T
22%
$2.0T–$2.25T
6%
$2.25T–$2.5T
7%
$2.5T+
16%
$1.75T–$2.0T 22%
$1.5T–$1.75T 18.8%
$2.5T+ 16.2%
$1.25T–$1.5T 15.3%
$131,646 Vol.
$131,646 Vol.
<$1T
6%
$1.0T–$1.25T
10%
$1.25T–$1.5T
15%
$1.5T–$1.75T
19%
$1.75T–$2.0T
22%
$2.0T–$2.25T
6%
$2.25T–$2.5T
7%
$2.5T+
16%
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: May 21, 2026, 1:27 PM ET
রেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
রেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...OpenAI CEO Sam Altman’s September 12, 2026 statements ruling out a 2026 IPO, citing the need to prioritize AI safety and alignment work ahead of any listing, have become the dominant driver of trader positioning. With the company having confidentially filed in June yet facing projected 2026 GAAP losses near $62 billion alongside rapid ARR growth, market-implied odds cluster around $1.5–2.0 trillion outcomes. These levels embed expectations for substantial compute-driven revenue expansion tempered by competitive intensity from Anthropic and others, plus the challenge of securing a $1 trillion-plus public valuation in a higher-scrutiny environment. Key upcoming catalysts include any industry safety coordination announcements and further clarity on 2027 timing.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড

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