Trader consensus assigns a 72% implied probability to no OpenAI IPO by December 31, 2026, reflecting fresh Republican-led House Oversight Committee scrutiny of CEO Sam Altman's pre-IPO business dealings and personal investments, which surfaced in the past 48 hours and raises conflict-of-interest red flags ahead of any securities filing. CFO Sarah Friar's April warnings that a 2026 timeline is overly aggressive—amid $600 billion compute commitments, projected $14 billion 2026 losses, and missed user targets—compound doubts, echoing PitchBook's May assessment that Q4 goals are unattainable. Strong $25 billion annualized revenue and $852 billion private valuation underpin 10.5% odds for a 1.5T+ debut, but regulatory probes and Musk trial testimony loom as key catalysts.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডওপেনএআই আইপিও ক্লোজিং মার্কেট ক্যাপ
ওপেনএআই আইপিও ক্লোজিং মার্কেট ক্যাপ
৩১ ডিসেম্বর, ২০২৬-এর মধ্যে আইপিও নয় 72%
১.৫ ট্রিলিয়ন+ 10.6%
১.২৫টি–১.৫টি 3.5%
৫০০–৭৫০বি 3.2%
$1,637,908 Vol.
$1,637,908 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
<৫০০বি
1%
৫০০–৭৫০বি
3%
৭৫০বি–১টি
2%
১টি–১.২৫টি
2%
১.২৫টি–১.৫টি
3%
১.৫ ট্রিলিয়ন+
11%
৩১ ডিসেম্বর, ২০২৬-এর মধ্যে আইপিও নয়
72%
৩১ ডিসেম্বর, ২০২৬-এর মধ্যে আইপিও নয় 72%
১.৫ ট্রিলিয়ন+ 10.6%
১.২৫টি–১.৫টি 3.5%
৫০০–৭৫০বি 3.2%
$1,637,908 Vol.
$1,637,908 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
<৫০০বি
$266,158 Vol.
1%
৫০০–৭৫০বি
$146,325 Vol.
3%
৭৫০বি–১টি
$141,040 Vol.
2%
১টি–১.২৫টি
$182,379 Vol.
2%
১.২৫টি–১.৫টি
$496,174 Vol.
3%
১.৫ ট্রিলিয়ন+
$100,916 Vol.
11%
৩১ ডিসেম্বর, ২০২৬-এর মধ্যে আইপিও নয়
$304,915 Vol.
72%
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus assigns a 72% implied probability to no OpenAI IPO by December 31, 2026, reflecting fresh Republican-led House Oversight Committee scrutiny of CEO Sam Altman's pre-IPO business dealings and personal investments, which surfaced in the past 48 hours and raises conflict-of-interest red flags ahead of any securities filing. CFO Sarah Friar's April warnings that a 2026 timeline is overly aggressive—amid $600 billion compute commitments, projected $14 billion 2026 losses, and missed user targets—compound doubts, echoing PitchBook's May assessment that Q4 goals are unattainable. Strong $25 billion annualized revenue and $852 billion private valuation underpin 10.5% odds for a 1.5T+ debut, but regulatory probes and Musk trial testimony loom as key catalysts.
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ET
ভলিউম
$1,637,908শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus assigns a 72% implied probability to no OpenAI IPO by December 31, 2026, reflecting fresh Republican-led House Oversight Committee scrutiny of CEO Sam Altman's pre-IPO business dealings and personal investments, which surfaced in the past 48 hours and raises conflict-of-interest red flags ahead of any securities filing. CFO Sarah Friar's April warnings that a 2026 timeline is overly aggressive—amid $600 billion compute commitments, projected $14 billion 2026 losses, and missed user targets—compound doubts, echoing PitchBook's May assessment that Q4 goals are unattainable. Strong $25 billion annualized revenue and $852 billion private valuation underpin 10.5% odds for a 1.5T+ debut, but regulatory probes and Musk trial testimony loom as key catalysts.
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
ভলিউম
$1,637,908শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus assigns a 72% implied probability to no OpenAI IPO by December 31, 2026, reflecting fresh Republican-led House Oversight Committee scrutiny of CEO Sam Altman's pre-IPO business dealings and personal investments, which surfaced in the past 48 hours and raises conflict-of-interest red flags ahead of any securities filing. CFO Sarah Friar's April warnings that a 2026 timeline is overly aggressive—amid $600 billion compute commitments, projected $14 billion 2026 losses, and missed user targets—compound doubts, echoing PitchBook's May assessment that Q4 goals are unattainable. Strong $25 billion annualized revenue and $852 billion private valuation underpin 10.5% odds for a 1.5T+ debut, but regulatory probes and Musk trial testimony loom as key catalysts.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা