The near-certain "No" outcome reflects the absence of any official U.S. military disclosure pathway for offensive marine mammal programs amid Strait of Hormuz tensions. Recent Pentagon briefings addressed related Iranian claims of mine-carrying dolphins but offered only standard neither-confirm-nor-deny phrasing without new details on U.S. capabilities. The Navy's documented dolphin training remains focused on defensive tasks such as harbor protection and mine detection, with no public evidence or scheduled announcements pointing to explosive attack variants before the May 31 deadline. Traders price in this stability because classified programs rarely surface on such short timelines without major leaks or policy shifts. Late-breaking declassification orders, diplomatic escalations, or verified whistleblower reports remain the only realistic catalysts that could still alter the consensus.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডUS Kamikaze Dolphins confirmed by May 31?
$29,515 Vol.
$29,515 Vol.
$29,515 Vol.
$29,515 Vol.
“Kamikaze dolphins” refers to the use of dolphins as weapons through the attachment of explosive devices to dolphins for the purpose of attacking ships or other targets. The use of dolphins for mine detection, surveillance, retrieval, harbor defense or other military purposes not involving the attachment of explosive devices will not qualify.
Confirmation of the existence of kamikaze dolphins requires confirmation that the United States military has used, trained, or equipped dolphins to conduct attack missions of this type, or operates an ongoing program for the use of kamikaze dolphins.
Official confirmation from the United States government or military of the existence of kamikaze dolphins will qualify. A consensus of credible reporting confirming the existence of kamikaze dolphins in the US military will also qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the United States government and military; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: May 11, 2026, 6:39 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...“Kamikaze dolphins” refers to the use of dolphins as weapons through the attachment of explosive devices to dolphins for the purpose of attacking ships or other targets. The use of dolphins for mine detection, surveillance, retrieval, harbor defense or other military purposes not involving the attachment of explosive devices will not qualify.
Confirmation of the existence of kamikaze dolphins requires confirmation that the United States military has used, trained, or equipped dolphins to conduct attack missions of this type, or operates an ongoing program for the use of kamikaze dolphins.
Official confirmation from the United States government or military of the existence of kamikaze dolphins will qualify. A consensus of credible reporting confirming the existence of kamikaze dolphins in the US military will also qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the United States government and military; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The near-certain "No" outcome reflects the absence of any official U.S. military disclosure pathway for offensive marine mammal programs amid Strait of Hormuz tensions. Recent Pentagon briefings addressed related Iranian claims of mine-carrying dolphins but offered only standard neither-confirm-nor-deny phrasing without new details on U.S. capabilities. The Navy's documented dolphin training remains focused on defensive tasks such as harbor protection and mine detection, with no public evidence or scheduled announcements pointing to explosive attack variants before the May 31 deadline. Traders price in this stability because classified programs rarely surface on such short timelines without major leaks or policy shifts. Late-breaking declassification orders, diplomatic escalations, or verified whistleblower reports remain the only realistic catalysts that could still alter the consensus.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা